TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd66c…97e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
329
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 60 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5726.3%15 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.61
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.46
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.9
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.75
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.46
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$46.4
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14.46
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+759.9%+$114.88
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+401.3%+$181.72
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+73.3%+$203.39
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+212.6%+$95.89
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.71
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$33.71
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$27.74
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.15
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.85
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.45
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.54
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.04
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.02
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+66.2%+$37.49
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.16
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4413.6%6 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.59
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 42% and 44%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$18.4
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 38% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 44% and 46%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$18.61
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be at least 46%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.12
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.11
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.46
Will Patriotic Electoral Bloc (BEP) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25.84
Will Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.89
Will turnout be between 6.2 million and 6.6 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+457.1%+$546.51
Will turnout be between 5.4 million and 5.8 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.74
Will turnout be between 5.8 million and 6.2 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.24
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.94
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+89.9%+$28.4
Will PAS win a majority of seats in Moldova elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.05
Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.1
25% South Korea tariff in effect by August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.48
Record low border encounters in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+102%+$40.4
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.24
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.53
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+138.6%+$36.02
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Dan win all the Bucharest sectors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.29
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST3013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$61.54
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$65.84
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.06
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$41.69
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+542.7%+$126.66
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.05
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.18
Will annual inflation increase by between 27% and 29.9% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+549.4%+$343.48
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$71.54
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$66.85
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.69
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$29.5
Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+219.6%+$45.85
Will a dozen eggs be below $3.50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will a dozen eggs be between $4-4.25 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.34
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.2
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.5-3.75 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.75-5.00 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.28
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will egg prices be between $5.50 and $5.75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will egg prices be between $6.00 and $6.25 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will egg prices be between $5.75 and $6.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.49
Will egg prices be more than $6.25 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.44
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2924.1%7 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+145.5%+$88.89
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+187.1%+$78.2
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$6.46
More EU sanctions on Russia by August 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.06
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.87
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$16.45
Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.05
Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.3
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.95
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$286.13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.49
Will Russia capture Siversk before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Nothing Ever Happens backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.55
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+128.7%+$210.26
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.53
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.96
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2512%3 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-76.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.8%+$100.99
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$23.05
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$36.55
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$31.58
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$39.7
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $108-116m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+83.9%+$78.47
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will "Thunderbolts" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70 and 79?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $385-400m by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will "The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 60?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.73
"Sinners" Rotten Tomatoes score >95?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.08
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 55 and 60?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will 'King of Kings' make between $15-18m on its domestic opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.57
Will 'The Chosen: Last Supper — Part 1' gross between 6-8m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.18
Will 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.49
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.34
Will 'Novocaine' gross more than 11m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.36
Will 'Mickey 17' gross between 16-20m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+132%+$71.12
Will 'Mickey 17' gross less than 16m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.04
Will 'Mickey 17' gross more than 24m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will 'Rule Breakers' gross between 3-6m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.75
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+267.1%+$122.95
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.11
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.37
Israeli parliament dissolved by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.59
Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.21
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.79
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$27.6
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+65.2%+$13.41
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+276.4%+$1,116.12
Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Another Houthi strike on Israel in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.2
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$19.17
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.78
Israel retaliates against Houthis in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+107.1%+$111.2
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$5.92
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10
Swiss Indoors Basel: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.24
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.55
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6.3
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Alcaraz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$19
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Novak Djokovic reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Barcelona Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Monte-Carlo Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+107.1%+$10.86
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.35
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick21cpaid+118.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+824.4%+$89.36
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$386.8
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$414.75
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$116.71
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+99%+$85.59
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+357.1%+$517.01
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+809.1%+$177.99
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+353.6%+$346.9
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$51.06
Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$61.46
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$151.05
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+300%+$37.5
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.37
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+56%+$10.77
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.17
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+215.3%+$68.28
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+323.5%+$99.3
Will Elon tweet 130-139 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.35
Will Elon tweet 120-129 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Elon tweet 110-119 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.66
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14.76
Will Elon tweet 900-949 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$27.17
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+434%+$128.41
Will Elon tweet 900-924 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$43.17
Will Elon tweet 925-949 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$67.61
Will Elon tweet 875-899 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25.25
Will Elon tweet 825-849 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22.55
Will Elon tweet 800-824 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17.11
Will Elon Musk tweet 750-799 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.88
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.32
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$32.46
Will Melissa make landfall at category 1 or weaker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.32
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.97
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in June 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.58
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10-1.14ºC in June 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.77
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.14ºC in June 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.37
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10-1.14ºC in May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+717.9%+$87.77
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.38
Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.44
Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$102.65
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.41ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.61
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT ads by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.12
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.19
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+58.1%+$29.4
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.19
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $380b and $390b on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.14
Grok 4 released by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+298%+$89.99
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.69
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST120%0 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.37
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.07
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.01
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.01
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.9
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.92
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.21
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 40 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-78.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 7 straight weeks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.36
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 5 straight weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.02
Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.1
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.87
Will Swag II first-week album sales be between 125000 and 150000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.63
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.86
Will Travis Scott's album 'JACKBOYS 2' have over 250k sales in its first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.92
Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG" debut at #1 in its first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+134.7%+$52.95
Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG' have over 150k sales in its first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.38
Playboi Carti's "MUSIC" debuts at #1 on Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.07
All 11 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-74%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $230 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$305.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.