Token Launches · resolved market
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x895d67a76468fc41c90c84e4a1e7d294d2c1b4d35024b3a6a67e4e3bb4f51265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,447,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,725,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,447,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 739 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a09…e317backed No | 7c | 61,154$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,165.39 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +9.8wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…b4c6backed Yes | 6c | 50,646$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe312…3b76backed Yes | 21c | 43,374$9,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,170.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…e6acbacked Yes | 20c | 36,590$7,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,275.46 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…dbcfbacked No | 16c | 34,242$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,840.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…e986backed Yes | 44c | 32,458$14,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,434.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 16c | 30,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed No | 55c | 22,000$12,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,984.18 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked No | 14c | 21,575$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,590.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…2538backed No | 67c | 20,834$13,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,837.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 43c | 20,790$9,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,033.65 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a82…49e9backed No | 57c | 16,915$9,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,292.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…f0fbbacked No | 75c | 16,048$12,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…b8b6backed Yes | 71c | 14,084$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.37 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8212backed No | 6c | 13,467$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,637.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +288.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed No | 7c | 11,999$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,159.47 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…0400backed No | 8c | 11,525$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,625.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +498%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…eaf0backed No | 15c | 11,013$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,335.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +556.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3377…6b54backed No | 15c | 10,654$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,041.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 17cpaid | +425.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…8b82backed No | 70c | 9,104$6,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.05 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…369bbacked Yes | 74c | 9,048$6,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,695.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed No | 47c | 8,753$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,654.29 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6182…788ebacked Yes | 68c | 8,462$5,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,721.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…dcd8backed Yes | 52c | 8,060$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…95f3backed Yes | 25c | 7,700$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…8186backed Yes | 41c | 7,601$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f9…55f0backed No | 16c | 7,507$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,322.16 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…7cdabacked Yes | 62c | 6,827$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…a06dbacked No | 19c | 6,429$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,186.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +158.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 38c | 6,162$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.94 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…31c0backed No | 57c | 6,130$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d103backed Yes | 38c | 6,055$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…d3b9backed Yes | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…6cf5backed No | 55c | 5,647$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…5d38backed No | 15c | 5,456$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,638 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…5e1abacked Yes | 11c | 5,150$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…96c2backed No | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…370abacked Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 59c | 4,865$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed No | 62c | 4,796$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.7 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +11.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…da0abacked Yes | 36c | 4,765$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +44%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes | 79c | 4,731$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.16 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 32c | 4,692$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.48 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…fecfbacked Yes | 5c | 4,500$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…d20ebacked No | 40c | 4,388$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.57 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 10c | 4,048$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaccf…a244backed No | 7c | 3,857$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +366.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…d9c9backed Yes | 36c | 3,759$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739c…e7abbacked Yes | 61c | 3,719$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…a8f5backed No | 58c | 3,690$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…d104backed No | 5c | 3,679$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +254.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 52c | 3,205$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.71 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…c634backed Yes | 64c | 3,130$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…bed7backed No | 9c | 3,066$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa64…969dbacked No | 46c | 3,058$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.04 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfad1…9cc4backed Yes | 50c | 2,998$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…6473backed Yes | 34c | 2,951$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…91dcbacked No | 15c | 2,947$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…7b09backed No | 39c | 2,908$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c3…b29ebacked Yes | 61c | 2,894$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…7a73backed No | 13c | 2,839$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.06 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 44cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd78…4db8backed Yes | 40c | 2,753$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…038ebacked No | 54c | 2,727$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.05 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 30cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…ea74backed No | 31c | 2,723$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 2,673$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.31 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd305…4e8bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,650$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…c0acbacked Yes | 39c | 2,568$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b0…e5f9backed No | 16c | 2,556$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +107%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 47c | 2,544$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.69 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…6b5cbacked No | 15c | 2,497$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +380.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 33c | 2,437$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.15 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c104backed No | 46c | 2,414$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 55c | 2,391$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…080ebacked No | 55c | 2,380$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 8c | 2,323$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…feaebacked No | 29c | 2,305$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +240%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…3643backed Yes | 78c | 2,250$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…d940backed Yes | 28c | 2,200$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 35c | 2,176$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.56 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…06e1backed Yes | 38c | 2,083$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…42fcbacked No | 16c | 2,070$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +274.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c2…58c0backed Yes | 37c | 1,992$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a5…ec07backed No | 7c | 1,973$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…db21backed No | 72c | 1,944$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…e4bcbacked No | 48c | 1,940$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.57 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…55e1backed Yes | 52c | 1,928$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9082…e0a7backed Yes | 78c | 1,866$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1b…cd39backed Yes | 54c | 1,855$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbfebacked No | 33c | 1,831$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed No | 10c | 1,810$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +259.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…4ba6backed Yes | 34c | 1,803$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…0975backed No | 24c | 1,770$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…8ca8backed No | 59c | 1,704$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf2…19a3backed No | 43c | 1,693$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff33…4aedbacked No | 74c | 1,678$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…0434backed Yes | 57c | 1,617$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 25cpaid | +148%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f59…572cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,590$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…041abacked Yes | 40c | 1,562$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…ac3abacked Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?this page
- Meteora FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- Meteora FDV above $6B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $8B one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.