TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd24c…eaf0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$622.72
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$146.67
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Thunder vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Wake Forestbacked Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+556.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,678Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+556.3%+$9,335.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$180
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$196.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.