NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdfef8a9bbe4173237cd9f3728565a69e74d26746fe8c4258f029668596e07df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,881,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,877,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,881,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Penguins | 55c | 1,808,301$999,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999,777.32 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wild | 47c | 711,408$336,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375,001.34 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wild | 45c | 297,248$133,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,503.45 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Wild | 44c | 197,234$86,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,451.16 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Wild | 45c | 150,000$67,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,000 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wild | 45c | 114,955$51,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,255.18 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Wild | 46c | 97,222$45,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,030.26 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wild | 46c | 79,998$36,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,199.05 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…eba1backed Wild | 47c | 78,248$37,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,241.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Penguins | 32c | 60,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Wild | 47c | 58,022$27,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,592.41 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Wild | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 54c | 26,840$14,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,491.4 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Wild | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Wild | 72c | 25,000$18,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.95 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Wild | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wild | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Wild | 47c | 19,005$8,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,076.16 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Wild | 46c | 17,500$8,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,450 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wild | 46c | 16,851$7,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,181.84 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Wild | 48c | 16,595$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,665.28 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Wild | 46c | 16,520$7,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,920.65 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Wild | 45c | 15,975$7,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,730.25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Penguins | 54c | 12,950$6,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,993.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Wild | 46c | 12,564$5,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,784.66 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Wild | 46c | 11,362$5,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,135.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 47c | 11,168$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,970.71 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Wild | 46c | 10,800$5,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,782 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Penguins | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Penguins | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Wild | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Wild | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Penguins | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…1f91backed Wild | 46c | 9,920$4,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,356.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…6dccbacked Penguins | 55c | 9,100$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0453…fcf0backed Wild | 45c | 9,098$4,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,003.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 49c | 8,890$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.69 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wild | 45c | 8,793$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.85 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Wild | 46c | 8,647$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.6 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 45c | 8,500$3,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wild | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 45c | 7,841$3,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,282.01 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Wild | 46c | 6,521$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.33 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Wild | 46c | 6,112$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.46 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Penguins | 0c | 5,795$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…a328backed Wild | 46c | 5,623$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins | 53c | 5,586$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.58 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Penguins | 55c | 5,453$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Wild | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Wild | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wild | 47c | 4,784$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.28 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 47c | 4,672$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.74 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Wild | 47c | 4,559$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.53 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed Penguins | 55c | 4,550$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Penguins | 9c | 4,530$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.61 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Wild | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Wild | 46c | 4,418$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.71 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Wild | 51c | 4,343$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.5 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wild | 48c | 4,071$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.3 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Wild | 69c | 4,024$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.1 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wild | 47c | 3,968$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.99 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Penguins | 54c | 3,890$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.34 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wild | 48c | 3,729$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Wild | 46c | 3,715$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Wild | 47c | 3,655$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.15 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Penguins | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 48c | 3,500$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.99 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Wild | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Penguins | 54c | 3,249$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.62 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 59c | 3,132$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.29 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Wild | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…ed41backed Penguins | 55c | 2,951$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06f…4b0fbacked Penguins | 55c | 2,910$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Penguins | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Wild | 75c | 2,637$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.9 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wild | 46c | 2,625$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.34 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Penguins | 8c | 2,455$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.91 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Penguins | 6c | 2,208$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Penguins | 18c | 2,200$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.95 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Wild | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Wild | 46c | 2,097$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Penguins | 54c | 2,083$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.82 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Wild | 48c | 2,078$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Penguins | 53c | 2,061$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wild | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Wild | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Wild | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Penguins | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b917backed Penguins | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Penguins | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Wild | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…59cbbacked Wild | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…1371backed Wild | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.95 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Wild | 47c | 1,947$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.81 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Penguins | 24c | 1,906$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.21 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Wild | 64c | 1,872$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.87 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Penguins | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Penguinsthis page
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wild vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.