TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ba8…ab96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
238
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST6046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$1,179.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$380
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$699.96
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$339.99
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.93
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+218.6%+$1,125.03
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.1%+$649.95
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$429.99
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$449.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+181.7%+$1,289.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+270.4%+$729.96
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+163.2%+$1,239.97
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$789.99
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$439.97
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$459.98
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$439.99
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$121.58
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+344.4%+$775
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST4537.8%17 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$149.99
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+143.9%+$589.99
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$660
Rangers vs. Senatorsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+117.4%+$540
Blues vs. Bruinsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$550
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$410
Sabres vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+110.5%+$1,050
Stars vs. Devilsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+108.3%+$520
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+143.9%+$590
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$370
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$577.13
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$315
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$520
Canadiens vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$640
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$429.99
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,080
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$720
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,040
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$980
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,760Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$2,239.93
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+185.7%+$650
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$205
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$175
Oilers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$285
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+284.6%+$370
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+177.8%+$139.22
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$149.99
Titans vs. 49ersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+244.8%+$710
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+138.1%+$289.98
Jets vs. Jaguarsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Cardinals vs. Texansbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$120
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$235
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$205
Raiders vs. Eaglesbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$390
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$136.61
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$450
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
Chargers vs. Dolphinsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-58%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$439.96
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$694.99
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$190
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$480
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.2%+$179.99
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$260
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$157.62
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$47.73
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+132.6%+$284.99
Will Osasuna vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$250
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$439.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$854.98
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+300%+$374.95
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+127.3%+$839.97
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$239.99
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+206.1%+$1,009.97
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$46.11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$729.98
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$520
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$449.95
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+49.3%+$660
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+56.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+132.6%+$555.9
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$279.99
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16.42
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$268.98
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+102.7%+$1,520
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+376.2%+$790
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$459.97
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$440
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$719.93
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+217.5%+$685
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$267.52
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$802.29
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+83.5%+$910
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$390
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+69.5%+$410
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$650
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$959.99
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$229.97
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$230
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$420
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$170
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$82.8
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$140
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$92.03
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-31.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$759.98
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,160
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$360
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$310
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+48.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+136.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,080
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+203%+$1,340
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$116
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$156
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,220.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$720
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.