Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f5f4a19b579fdf2063fa89372bbe7268e02c2d9906523803cd7d1f6bb954688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 26,546$9,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,175.12 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed No | 65c | 8,414$5,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,469.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 7,361$5,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,404.49 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 7,276$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507.18 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 67c | 4,538$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 4,451$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 78c | 3,849$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 33c | 2,369$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.21 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 65c | 1,782$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.01 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,538$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.98 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,533$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.16 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 34c | 1,469$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.53 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,450$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.71 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 6c | 1,400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 1,232$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.69 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 23c | 1,170$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.44 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 7c | 940.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 33c | 909.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.69 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 31c | 890$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.28 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 67c | 835.29$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 29c | 814$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.14 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 48c | 813$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.36 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 66c | 608.75$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 34c | 588.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.43 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 67c | 500$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 30c | 498.17$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 64c | 477$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.96 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 65c | 444$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 65c | 382.14$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.39 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 344$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.76 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 35c | 303.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 43c | 296.41$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 51c | 281.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.47 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 35c | 271.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.43 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 19c | 261.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f5backed Yes | 35c | 237.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 80c | 222.13$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.71 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 20c | 210$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 64c | 171.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 66c | 170.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 34c | 158.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 56c | 149.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 35c | 137.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 55c | 123$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4d…812ebacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…7e74backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 69c | 97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 28c | 88.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 33c | 84.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e5…4c5ebacked No | 70c | 84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…40bfbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 34c | 59.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 68c | 56.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…f998backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.