Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x025befd2e475d4fecd6e2fe4c65154353e3b165d93e684f61a09a4d7a74aa0a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $521,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $519,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 63c | 35,776$22,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,237.19 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 37c | 35,000$12,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,950 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Yes | 30c | 22,320$6,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,739.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 14,866$10,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,684.74 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 8,373$5,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.45 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 5,767$4,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.97 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Yes | 39c | 5,000$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…bd5fbacked Yes | 40c | 4,914$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e6…c89ebacked Yes | 40c | 4,515$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5601…61c1backed No | 60c | 3,605$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…351ebacked No | 60c | 3,405$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…2ec4backed Yes | 40c | 3,149$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe79…1903backed No | 60c | 2,959$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798f…e272backed Yes | 40c | 2,917$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 2,902$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.93 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de1…3714backed No | 60c | 2,684$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 61c | 2,626$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.61 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…7a9dbacked No | 60c | 2,608$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 41c | 2,598$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.18 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 2,569$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.53 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33df…9a83backed No | 60c | 2,560$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…029fbacked Yes | 40c | 2,550$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 38c | 2,406$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f9…7238backed No | 60c | 2,369$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…ca5bbacked No | 60c | 2,347$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…21c1backed No | 60c | 2,344$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 41c | 2,273$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.78 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7856…558abacked Yes | 40c | 2,247$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d8…bfbcbacked Yes | 40c | 2,247$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec7…83fbbacked Yes | 40c | 2,187$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e5…d862backed No | 60c | 2,137$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…61b1backed No | 60c | 2,076$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…185fbacked No | 60c | 1,996$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8c…4389backed No | 60c | 1,985$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e9…16c2backed Yes | 40c | 1,983$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…02fcbacked No | 60c | 1,980$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579e…48f4backed Yes | 40c | 1,973$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…46cdbacked No | 60c | 1,940$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…75d2backed No | 60c | 1,935$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…bc07backed Yes | 40c | 1,878$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7746…25aabacked Yes | 40c | 1,859$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…ec58backed Yes | 40c | 1,851$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…e62cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,838$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484b…2e93backed No | 60c | 1,810$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…37fbbacked Yes | 40c | 1,799$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…4153backed No | 60c | 1,742$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 39c | 1,705$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.94 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a67…ed0cbacked No | 60c | 1,685$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…3f3bbacked No | 60c | 1,664$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…1d7bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,649$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…8a2abacked No | 60c | 1,648$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…7984backed Yes | 40c | 1,641$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…d322backed Yes | 40c | 1,621$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…b3aabacked Yes | 40c | 1,606$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x192d…ebb8backed No | 60c | 1,604$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…0bd8backed Yes | 40c | 1,551$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.82 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…c804backed Yes | 40c | 1,538$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…bb1dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,514$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…2efabacked Yes | 40c | 1,512$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…a932backed Yes | 40c | 1,507$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…1446backed No | 60c | 1,506$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…c4d6backed No | 60c | 1,493$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 58cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…886dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,485$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17b…2dd9backed Yes | 40c | 1,483$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…6195backed No | 60c | 1,473$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 35c | 1,471$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…288cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,442$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…3f9bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,430$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…a5d6backed Yes | 40c | 1,428$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2b…493fbacked No | 60c | 1,422$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6085…4880backed Yes | 40c | 1,403$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…b196backed Yes | 40c | 1,402$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…c998backed Yes | 40c | 1,402$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…5205backed No | 60c | 1,388$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…ef00backed No | 60c | 1,388$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…77c3backed No | 60c | 1,385$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9e…1fdfbacked No | 60c | 1,367$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae13…2dfebacked No | 60c | 1,354$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda3…dab2backed Yes | 40c | 1,303$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cb…c746backed No | 60c | 1,297$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64f…0be7backed Yes | 40c | 1,296$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1b…79debacked Yes | 40c | 1,294$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a4…da99backed No | 60c | 1,288$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc355…b98fbacked No | 60c | 1,280$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedc…ec9ebacked No | 60c | 1,270$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe982…7329backed Yes | 40c | 1,253$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…139dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,252$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c2…db1bbacked No | 60c | 1,238$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ed…5563backed No | 60c | 1,237$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…e2a6backed No | 60c | 1,230$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…9dc6backed Yes | 40c | 1,220$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…6e13backed Yes | 40c | 1,217$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…17babacked Yes | 40c | 1,217$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…71d2backed No | 60c | 1,206$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12f…194abacked Yes | 40c | 1,198$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.