TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb52b…b156

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cruzeiro EC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,588.68
Mirassol FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,130
Clube do Remo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,901.92
EC Vitória vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,873.33
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,014Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$4,823.73
Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,001.7
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,739.16
Coritiba FBC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$843.84
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,699.93
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,622Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$3,679.84
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,973Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$693.29
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+354.5%+$2,340
Will Santos FC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$959.99
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,334Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+40.3%+$1,343.01
Will EC Bahia vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$721.92
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$394.81
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$470
Will SC Recife vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+138.1%+$1,160
Will Racing Club vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$909.51
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,021Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$4,823.95
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,158.02
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,850.46
FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,453.45
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,375.09
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+148.2%+$1,254
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,948.9
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$839.99
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,889Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+58.7%+$1,109.63
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,770Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+44.4%+$1,230.43
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$550
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,678Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$9,263.51
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$727.46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10,000
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,119.99
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$3,056.03
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,679.98
Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,410
Leeds United vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$460.24
Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$66.07
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$750
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$940
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$2,400
Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$2,450
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis City SC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,349.98
Columbus Crew vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$299.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.15
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$624.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+368%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+368%+$368.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+212.5%+$212.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,878Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$1,690.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estoril Praia win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$620
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.