Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8119ea677bf6c4ce26cbcd76ae98bc5c4c234f36e7d20fa6269809bfb8550ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 36c | 13,510$4,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,863.58 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 11,214$5,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,958.51 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 7,948$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.19 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…e8febacked Over | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 6,669$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.88 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Over | 56c | 5,639$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 3,054$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.25 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 66c | 2,418$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.98 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 36c | 2,102$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.59 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 59c | 1,972$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.87 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,946$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.76 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 58c | 1,676$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.9 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over | 64c | 1,529$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 27c | 1,458$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +326.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Under | 51c | 1,456$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Under | 36c | 1,336$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 64c | 1,087$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.32 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 22c | 1,021$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.32 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Under | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 57c | 899.97$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.98 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 64c | 840.81$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.12 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 833.4$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.28 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 35c | 829.18$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.97 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 68c | 817.26$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.56 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 65c | 766.4$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.02 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 64c | 717.74$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.38 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 57c | 699.97$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Under | 38c | 698.18$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 35c | 697.6$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 65c | 673.21$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.58 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 35c | 603.85$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.5 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 38c | 500$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.21 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 64c | 458.63$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 65c | 451.85$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.7 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 65c | 451.85$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.7 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 35c | 412.16$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 403.87$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 14c | 400.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 36c | 397.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.12 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Over | 64c | 382.19$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.6 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 53c | 375$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 373.47$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.3 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 36c | 370$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 59c | 354.58$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 60c | 329.01$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.09 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 60c | 322.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.26 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 320.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 65c | 301.1$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 65c | 291.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 64c | 260.65$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.82 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 46c | 252.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 58c | 234.05$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…616dbacked Under | 56c | 226.27$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 63c | 224.24$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 222.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 218.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 57c | 211.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 55c | 205.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d57ebacked Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…6c90backed Over | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f15…50cbbacked Over | 64c | 168.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…acc5backed Over | 63c | 155.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Over | 54c | 155.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 65c | 150.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Over | 65c | 150.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 137.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 59c | 132.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 129.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 35c | 127.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 36c | 125.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 123.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked Over | 63c | 121.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 35c | 116.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 64c | 105.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 44c | 100.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Under | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Over | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Over | 55c | 97.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Under | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 62c | 94.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Over | 64c | 88.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 65c | 87.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.