Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1f60a7d1a992e91a7f09137ebbe71f9def9a0c16ea40aa5355719c7a4627285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 31c | 9,601$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,626.02 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 70c | 8,635$6,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,044.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 6,218$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.11 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…5c16backed Under | 56c | 5,236$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 16c | 4,418$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.38 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Under | 67c | 3,865$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 3,155$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.35 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 20c | 2,372$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.31 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…5b4cbacked Over | 70c | 1,610$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 32c | 1,382$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.46 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over | 79c | 1,334$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 29c | 1,204$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 66c | 987.99$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.07 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 14c | 987.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.33 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over | 77c | 893.08$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Over | 77c | 748.06$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 19c | 643.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 19c | 627.74$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 39c | 599.94$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.98 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 598.23$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.31 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 556.78$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.45 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…0624backed Under | 16c | 397.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 20c | 394.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 21c | 350.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 54c | 298.5$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.87 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 32c | 296.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 57c | 219.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 62c | 201.03$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a95…c382backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 37c | 199.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…fd44backed Over | 70c | 179.58$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 71c | 171.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 30c | 169.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 68c | 166.66$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Over | 35c | 149.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 145.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 27c | 141.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Over | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 116.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 44c | 98.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over | 75c | 95.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Under | 51c | 94.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Over | 50c | 93.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Over | 71c | 81.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Over | 41c | 78.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 14c | 73.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…70bbbacked Over | 71c | 73.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 69c | 68.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 30c | 68.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 38c | 60.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 65c | 57.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 67c | 55.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Over | 72c | 51.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…5dc1backed Over | 79c | 49.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…acc5backed Over | 61c | 49.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Under | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Over | 76c | 45.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…9812backed Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 69c | 42.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Over | 72c | 38.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…6f04backed Over | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 67c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…46c7backed Over | 63c | 33.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 68c | 33.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Over | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 78c | 27.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 60c | 26.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…892fbacked Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287f…3c11backed Over | 65c | 23.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 70c | 23.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 61c | 22.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 71c | 22.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 71cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…efb3backed Over | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…0d49backed Over | 71c | 14.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.