TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under31c9,601$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,626.0248141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over70c8,635$6,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,044.51283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under24c6,218$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,700.113,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88cf…5c16backed Under56c5,236$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under16c4,418$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,708.3875142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Under67c3,865$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c3,155$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.352,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over20c2,372$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.3149143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7851…5b4cbacked Over70c1,610$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under32c1,382$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.4664043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over79c1,334$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under29c1,204$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.851,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41010641.5%44 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9910552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over66c987.99$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.078068.8%55 W · 25 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under14c987.13$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.331,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over77c893.08$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Over77c748.06$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.01560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over19c643.64$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.74916.3%8 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over19c627.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.271353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over39c599.94$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.983548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over71c598.23$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.3114260.6%86 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over39c556.78$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4533938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ae9…0624backed Under16c397.65$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over20c394.11$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.059052.2%47 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over21c350.05$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3314055%77 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over54c298.5$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.871338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under32c296.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.3920645.6%94 W · 112 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over57c219.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.892272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+49.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under62c201.03$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4920845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a95…c382backed Over40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over37c199.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.991450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd289…fd44backed Over70c179.58$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over71c171.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.632245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over30c169.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.52733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over68c166.66$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.332740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba97…716bbacked Over35c149.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.062326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under20c145.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1581732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over27c141.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.256134.4%21 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over76c129.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.565461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Over77c128.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.621758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c116.53$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.081,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over26c110.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.674524.4%11 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+84.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under44c98.84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.353935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over76c98.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9138845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over75c95.87$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.911631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Under51c94.54$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.423138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd35d…ea31backed Over50c93.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Over71c81.13$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under28c80$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.614642.5%62 W · 84 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Over41c78.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.582832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under14c73.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7521051.4%108 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe96f…70bbbacked Over71c73.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Over69c68.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.41163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under30c68.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.841414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over38c60.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8226433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.082245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over65c57.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.23253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over67c55.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4516464%105 W · 59 L+28.5wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+49.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.172152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fa…4d49backed Over72c51.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2c…5dc1backed Over79c49.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8a…acc5backed Over61c49.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Under40c48.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.921747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Over76c45.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x217f…9812backed Over44c43.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under69c42.49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.358251.2%42 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe57c…b99bbacked Over72c38.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d22…6f04backed Over77c38.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-61.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4120753.6%111 W · 96 L+22.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.451258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8095…d7abbacked Over67c35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+40.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x052e…46c7backed Over63c33.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over68c33.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7812460.5%75 W · 49 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+46.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa738…ddedbacked Over73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.543557.1%20 W · 15 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+40.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84ef…6d0dbacked Over68c28.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x582a…a781backed Over78c27.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.73887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under60c26.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6220548.3%99 W · 106 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6254…892fbacked Over79c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x287f…3c11backed Over65c23.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over70c23.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-35.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under61c22.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7417749.7%88 W · 89 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ea…05b8backed Over71c22.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick71cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e45…efefbacked Over79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.82277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcf…efb3backed Over77c19.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c08…0d49backed Over71c14.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.