Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c7466be6237cd426591057aac569a35bebfe2321656aaa4491fc4f07592f25f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 8,107$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,693.73 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 3,280$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.23 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…8288backed Yes | 66c | 3,041$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.98 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 2,396$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.55 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 59c | 1,368$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.8 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked No | 35c | 1,153$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 52c | 999.94$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.97 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 35c | 999.89$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.93 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 40c | 752$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…6510backed Yes | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 65c | 440$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 70c | 410$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…899dbacked Yes | 46c | 402.23$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 331.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 49c | 300.63$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 34c | 299.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 68c | 289.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 279.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.11 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 46c | 241.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 45c | 238.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed No | 42c | 231.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 227.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 64c | 222.37$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Yes | 61c | 221.87$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 65c | 210.86$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…ae44backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 35c | 196.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed No | 55c | 194.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked No | 41c | 192.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 35c | 190.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 57c | 176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Yes | 56c | 174.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 34c | 170.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…e378backed No | 78c | 159.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f9…2667backed Yes | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Yes | 65c | 146.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 43c | 146.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Yes | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Yes | 65c | 143.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…fbf5backed Yes | 66c | 141.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 116.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Yes | 66c | 103.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked No | 31c | 102.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 45c | 101.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7570…0b56backed Yes | 66c | 100.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…fd83backed Yes | 66c | 100.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 65c | 99.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 66c | 98.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 34c | 97.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Yes | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 23c | 92.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 61c | 84.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Yes | 51c | 83.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 41c | 82.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 41c | 82.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…0e4cbacked Yes | 68c | 79.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 48c | 74.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 48c | 74.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 48c | 74.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 52c | 74.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…d6efbacked Yes | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 30c | 60.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bd…1469backed Yes | 66c | 59.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…b7fdbacked Yes | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 34c | 56.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7d…2d6fbacked Yes | 59c | 56.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…29dabacked Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 37c | 51.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 65c | 48.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Yes | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a66…48c7backed Yes | 74c | 46.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…0774backed Yes | 66c | 44.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Yes | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…8377backed Yes | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 72c | 41.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 38.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…af14backed Yes | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 68c | 36.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…892fbacked Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…676fbacked Yes | 66c | 32.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.