TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3167…f43c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT4951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+180.6%+$497.33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+113%+$112.96
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$208.87
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$449.39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.27
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.97
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.06
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$67.33
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$255.61
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$139.52
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$48.98
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+530.9%+$92.85
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+187.5%+$266.26
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+385.4%+$204.27
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+186.1%+$78.18
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$78.88
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+190.5%+$326.79
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.09
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.31
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.27
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$167.42
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3727%10 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.32
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Will the Denver Nuggets finish with the best record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+102.7%+$25.68
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$31.35
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.09
Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luciano Darderi vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.31
BNP Paribas Open: Donna Vekic vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
BNP Paribas Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$42.69
New Delhi: Federico Cina vs Rei Sakamotobacked Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$36.73
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$98.37
Tigre: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nicolas Kickerbacked Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Tigre: Franco Roncadelli vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$60
New Delhi: Alastair Gray vs Rei Sakamotobacked Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22.65
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Clara Tauson vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertensbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+104.9%+$57.69
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Belinda Bencic vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22.92
Les Sables d'Olonne: Camilla Rosatello vs Mona Barthelbacked Rosatello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Oeiras 2: Viktoriya Tomova vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+111.6%+$35.59
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+67.8%+$16.95
Qatar Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Karen Khachanovbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Magda Linette vs Clara Tausonbacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.23
Tigre: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Nicolas Kickerbacked Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Oeiras 2: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Oeiras 2: Francisca Jorge vs Linda Klimovicovabacked Jorge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Paula Badosa vs Elina Svitolinabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.73
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$80.01
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$85.1
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$48.62
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$51.71
Will Chelsea finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.8
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$55.13
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$21.95
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.15
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.25
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$13.47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.28
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.7
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.3%+$15.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$18.84
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+138.1%+$41.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$72.77
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27.32
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$47.57
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
All 23 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.01
Bayer 04 Leverkusen leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.46
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$41.62
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$28.75
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+79.3%+$27.77
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+156.4%+$62.56
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick40cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$840.47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+80%+$271
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+139.4%+$62.73
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+76.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+140.2%+$21.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$109.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.