Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28ba6390cf5cd8fbce14acd87b72283a865e31d4e8bfe92f19eb86b9914b28bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liverpool FCof Liverpool FC, Brighton & Hove Albion FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 60c | 3,179$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Liverpool FC | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…8f36backed Liverpool FC | 52c | 1,302$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 50c | 902.04$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.05 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Liverpool FC | 38c | 661.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.24 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Liverpool FC | 44c | 545.45$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.45 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Liverpool FC | 42c | 480$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Liverpool FC | 29c | 463.1$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Liverpool FC | 51c | 401.18$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Liverpool FC | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Liverpool FC | 37c | 350$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 61c | 281.63$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa321…751abacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 63c | 204.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 48c | 201.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Liverpool FC | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Liverpool FC | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 59c | 199.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27e1…704bbacked Liverpool FC | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Liverpool FC | 45c | 160.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Liverpool FC | 41c | 140.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liverpool FC | 53c | 107.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…ea39backed Liverpool FC | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Liverpool FC | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 56c | 81.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Liverpool FC | 43c | 63.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Liverpool FC | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…ffb4backed Liverpool FC | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…db3dbacked Liverpool FC | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…06e8backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 60c | 49.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 58cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Liverpool FC | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 27c | 41.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 61c | 41.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 61c | 41.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Liverpool FC | 37c | 37.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Liverpool FC | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 62c | 30.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Liverpool FC | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Liverpool FC | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Liverpool FC | 50c | 26.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 50c | 20.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.