TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb4cc…06e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-93%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$36.12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.63
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.22
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on February 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$39.08
Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$54.23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or below on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27.03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.39
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$33.02
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.78
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.71
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$54.14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or below on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$47.96
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$52.26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or below on February 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30.43
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on February 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$26.69
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$185.54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.33
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+150%+$37.13
Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21.57
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25.84
Will Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.67
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+28.7%+$6.32
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.38
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+62.5%+$14.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick58cpaid-77.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State Seminoles vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24.02
Spread: Furman Paladins (-13.5)backed Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.44
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.2%+$5.05
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-7.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29.69
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+123.5%+$41.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $1.70 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25.4%+$11.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.