TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked No56c15,999$8,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,976.3822348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c14,936$5,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,537.462,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No42c14,039$5,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,921.5296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes44c10,000$4,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,622.196360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes44c6,830$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,793.688042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No56c6,057$3,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,397.126940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed Yes44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3602040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes52c5,963$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.8246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes43c5,835$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.1768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No48c5,547$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.378139.5%32 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed No39c5,374$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked No58c5,123$2,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Yes45c4,204$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.861866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No42c3,827$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.377345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes67c3,540$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.1911153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…bf48backed No58c3,264$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No57c3,028$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.519631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes53c3,001$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.9820431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae6…3cbebacked No57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x740d…7362backed Yes42c2,666$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.29850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a35…5e52backed Yes39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No19c2,509$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.4649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a28…c488backed Yes42c2,474$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked No3c2,313$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5570%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c1,957$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.8898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c1,946$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.2948144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ff…2df5backed Yes68c1,912$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf24e…080dbacked No58c1,881$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2678…cef5backed No58c1,876$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes71c1,843$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c1,773$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.221,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No56c1,709$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.9840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes46c1,594$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.5516046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No57c1,586$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.7540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.9714249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6481…bb25backed Yes68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes48c1,244$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.741546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Yes42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.481741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.792857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked No58c1,100$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No57c1,090$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.175959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes43c1,073$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.3812153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes41c1,060$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.822250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked No34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes46c982.86$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.4449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No32c928.29$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes43c927.75$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.1644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No34c915.09$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.1135646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No58c760$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.84242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No43c697.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.728342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed No56c688$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed No69c674.99$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.242661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes54c661$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.582176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0b4f…267ebacked No35c599.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.54728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes42c573.8$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.833951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes43c560$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.23844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No4c517.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed No13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed No62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No57c499.97$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.981662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No57c499.95$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.972231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d3e…534ebacked No63c489.78$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No34c451$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.347945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No50c424.08$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7552748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22446047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes55c372.19$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0620033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No60c366.78$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes42c357$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.069456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…76afbacked No57c351$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.07757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4214…62e6backed Yes68c338.9$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No56c300$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16726046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf250…de38backed No56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes44c275.09$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.053946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.168052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1406043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14510038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes44c243$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6841943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.115259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes45c235.05$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3631738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No56c234.67$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6321445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No56c227.27$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.272339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed No12c227.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2210242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked No68c221.58$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.162050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2196…da90backed Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6410757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1590…9e72backed Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed No57c199.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb163…4129backed Yes44c194.86$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.122055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes38c192.11$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.116136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6039…9496backed No57c190$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.31662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No51c183.65$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.142532%8 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.