TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b4f…267e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4553.3%24 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.56
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.24
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,564.33
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.05
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.09
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64.11
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$526.76
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,498Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$1,135.96
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150.38
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.23
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.71
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+322.5%+$1,371.71
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,287
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$3,102.59
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$1,416.8
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$780.5
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+195.6%+$582.96
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$5,100.62
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.19
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$854
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$269.04
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.23
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.64
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$174.74
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35.18
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$59.62
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$152
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$47.01
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$79.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.7
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.35
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+82.3%+$189.67
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+62.3%+$52.17
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+170.3%+$126
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$71.74
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+158.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$129.12
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$233.07
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$6.82
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$139.23
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$63.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$70.63
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$163.25
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+89.5%+$164.86
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$62.52
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+172.3%+$126.56
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$66
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+70.5%+$165.34
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+2,048.8%+$1,165.55
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.38
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$62.04
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.95
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.73
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.84
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$43.68
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.98
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$40.34
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$186
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$146.73
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.97
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.91
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$104.69
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$46.35
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.9%+$16.84
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,716.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+50.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick75cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.63
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,689.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+1,689.2%+$1,682.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+209.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+209.2%+$202.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$120.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.