Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58d77bc749c46ad4b4617b8c8693c62c9e0378ed73407beb113bd8a2d4e13eab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Aurora, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,124,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,282,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,124,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 705 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 214,008$107,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,907.79 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Aurora | 50c | 191,619$95,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,809.59 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 38,735$19,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,030.92 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 20c | 37,091$7,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,532.65 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 47c | 25,811$12,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.31 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 45c | 15,971$7,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,208.44 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 15,855$8,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,150.98 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 30c | 14,785$4,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,428.04 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Aurora | 49c | 14,588$7,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,148.28 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Aurora | 61c | 14,442$8,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,872.18 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Aurora | 47c | 14,000$6,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,519.98 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora | 44c | 13,715$6,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,057.25 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 5c | 13,498$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.81 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 37c | 10,356$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.7 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 41c | 10,218$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,143.49 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Aurora | 38c | 10,196$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.61 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…2e07backed Aurora | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Aurora | 47c | 9,610$4,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,488.02 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 8,626$4,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,389.39 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 8,504$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,370.33 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Aurora | 48c | 8,267$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.42 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Aurora | 50c | 7,903$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.1 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora | 38c | 7,414$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.05 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 6,931$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Aurora | 42c | 6,400$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.99 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Aurora | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 5,674$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.18 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Aurora | 3c | 5,563$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.77 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora | 50c | 5,494$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.59 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Aurora | 40c | 5,447$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.96 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 5,405$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.05 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 5,345$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.27 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345f…90afbacked Aurora | 52c | 5,192$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 45c | 5,119$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.11 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe294…4d6cbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa321…3aa4backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Aurora | 49c | 4,893$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.3 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0312…38e6backed Aurora | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…d3a6backed Aurora | 7c | 4,700$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora | 51c | 4,658$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.37 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 49c | 4,622$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.7 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…18adbacked Aurora | 29c | 4,324$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 24c | 4,145$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.87 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 4,094$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.94 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 4,010$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.41 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4b…1b8bbacked Aurora | 50c | 4,000$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 4,000$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 3,931$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.22 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Aurora | 40c | 3,886$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Aurora | 53c | 3,829$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 3,812$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.44 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Aurora | 20c | 3,800$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.58 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Aurora | 30c | 3,548$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.65 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 3,516$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.35 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Aurora | 49c | 3,394$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.19 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 31c | 3,350$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.31 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Aurora | 44c | 3,125$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora | 50c | 3,119$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.64 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Aurora | 30c | 3,107$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.65 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 2,950$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.64 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 2,865$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.05 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 44c | 2,821$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.05 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Aurora | 40c | 2,753$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.26 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 2,675$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.47 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 2,671$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.77 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 2,655$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…0263backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 2,628$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 2,520$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.32 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 2,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.55 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Aurora | 37c | 2,416$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.19 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Aurora | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Aurora | 45c | 2,354$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.85 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 45c | 2,300$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.5 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 19c | 2,144$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.06 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cb…1f21backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,135$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,056$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.57 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 33c | 2,046$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.76 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.79 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 46c | 2,017$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.08 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Aurora | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora | 48c | 2,000$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.98 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,996$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.46 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…b921backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,983$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,947$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.78 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,942$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.07 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Aurora | 57c | 1,920$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.88 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,916$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.26 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Aurora | 48c | 1,830$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.96 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 25c | 1,807$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.68 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,796$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.09 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,780$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.87 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,749$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Aurora | 2c | 1,705$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,705$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.75 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,659$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.95 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 1,648$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.69 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Aurora | 47c | 1,621$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.87 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game 3: Ends in Daytime?Yes won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.