TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9553…cfc7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
248
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT8458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.8
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$185.06
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Grêmio Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$65.77
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$40.93
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$66.25
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$810.58
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.06
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.38
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$81.33
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$661.86
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.36
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs eLITenergy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked eLITenergy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.76
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$249.58
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$114.72
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$89.67
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.72
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+65%+$356.82
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$2,334.42
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$279.28
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,705Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,704.83
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.3
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.99
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+48%+$281.38
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT5250%26 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$57.1
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$112.82
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.43
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29,657Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$16,563.38
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,833Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$5,015.25
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,031.24
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$401.83
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.52
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,809.49
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$254.22
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$3,307.07
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,710Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$2,116.08
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,264.9
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$197.52
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$164.36
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,605Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,736.65
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$312.24
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.57
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,953Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$8,162.19
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT5158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+57%+$100.33
Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.65
Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,969Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,969.07
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$940.84
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,187.44
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,177.47
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,617.7
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$1,501.01
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,996Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+91%+$1,816.44
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,541.04
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$986.26
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$310.53
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$130.14
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.29
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$779.52
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$34.31
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$400.73
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$529.88
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.9
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.53
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$337.5
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+365.4%+$2,192.21
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.81
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300.99
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,371Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$4,549.85
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,222
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,377Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,162.49
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,867Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28%+$2,202.58
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,567Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,766.49
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,577.33
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.86
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$364.71
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$174.97
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.64
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,986Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$874.98
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$168.97
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.28
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$50
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,430
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,350
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,459Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$579.97
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.14
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.29
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-4.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Florida Gators (-5.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$638.37
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.55
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.92
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.98
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One - Map 4 Winnerbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.77
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One - Map 3 Winnerbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.41
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One - Map 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$48.43
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked ULF Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,362.4
Valorant: Motiv Esports vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsbacked Motiv Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagebacked Azure Dragon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$1,991.82
Valorant: QoR vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagebacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$649.24
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagebacked Azure Dragon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.46
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$384.04
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$749.77
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$26.3
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,390.08
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$426.45
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$251.21
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$1,007.14
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.8
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$201.11
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Solary (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$16.91
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$180.79
LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$33.73
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$1,062.27
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$95.21
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.79
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$271.81
LoL: FN Esports vs Team Phantasma (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Hbacked FN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+39.6%+$336.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.