Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43815fcdfcdba37d2e52ec7c0327e1c14b86854b672e096ad81896a3bb635893
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Boilermakersof Purdue Boilermakers, Nebraska Cornhuskers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,609 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 9,608$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.29 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 6,717$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 4,243$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.68 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 2,122$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.38 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 50c | 1,369$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.71 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 1,305$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.42 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 210.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 173.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 50c | 102.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 98.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804c…7846backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…2dc9backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-4.5)this page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska CornhuskersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 137.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 140.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 142.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 143.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 144.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 145.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-10.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-11.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-12.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-3.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-5.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-9.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.