TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x699c…5dc1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
218
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Stocks, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7459.5%44 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14,839Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,838.76
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$700.59
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$9,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,072.25
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,950.95
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,726.63
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150.4%+$505.44
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$2,226.37
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$545.63
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$330.46
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,482Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$1,210.06
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$752.88
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160.67
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,809Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$531.68
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$420.15
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$14.86
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.8
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.47
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$185
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT4568.9%31 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Devils vs. Starsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.12
Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.63
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Kraken vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Penguins vs. Utah: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$10.81
Sharks vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Hurricanes vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$8.4
Rangers vs. Wild: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$8.4
Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$14.52
Predators vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$8.38
Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$8.38
Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$6.81
Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+30%+$7.51
Flames vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$7.97
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$367.8
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.21
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$1,877.89
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,954Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$4,989.49
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,769Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,427.91
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,616Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40%+$3,848.51
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,402Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$663.8
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$7,548Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$3,526.64
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13,252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+32%+$4,243.31
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-3.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.64
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$8.65
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-13.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.1
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.33
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-4.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.21
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.73
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$139.59
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-6.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$165.62
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.82
Connecticut Huskies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.5%+$307.31
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,098.28
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$59.71
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.83
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.31
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$207.56
Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 247.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$127
76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+27.4%+$6.85
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+97%+$53.35
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$22.84
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+79.7%+$79.65
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$617.96
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$596
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,474.76
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$876.17
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,017
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$678.95
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$642.29
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$951.28
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$579.31
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$7.27
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$9.12
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.75
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-44.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,438.43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,821.07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11,307Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$2,931.98
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$251.5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$452.56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$325.57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$6,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,041.22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.53
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,546.07
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,553.62
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,437.27
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.5
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$152.81
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,508Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.8%+$720.97
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+98.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Eryk Anders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$13.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$27.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$20.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$377
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.