MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa51acce990c10c0c5aa7bc5f2e5dd1348672e7a3c796610ae0859cf94a1a18d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 109,972$50,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,392.86 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Mets | 55c | 36,125$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 53c | 23,620$12,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,537.34 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 54c | 13,119$7,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,084.17 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 12,878$9,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,846.32 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 54c | 10,771$5,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,828.84 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 55c | 5,548$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.45 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 54c | 5,220$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 5,143$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.08 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 54c | 5,034$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.42 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed New York Mets | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 54c | 4,902$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…ca8cbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 4,416$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked New York Mets | 52c | 4,030$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.19 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 3,114$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.7 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed New York Mets | 54c | 2,190$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.67 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Mets | 54c | 2,038$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.52 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 2,000$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,845$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.37 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,819$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.03 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 44c | 1,656$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,634$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.77 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,396$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.63 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,272$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.82 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked New York Mets | 55c | 1,252$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.34 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets | 54c | 1,024$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.97 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets | 23c | 950$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed New York Mets | 54c | 925.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.83 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 54c | 910$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.4 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Mets | 55c | 871.98$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.71 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 55c | 585.01$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.44 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed New York Mets | 54c | 555.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed New York Mets | 54c | 552.07$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.12 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed New York Mets | 54c | 516.71$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.21 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Mets | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets | 54c | 416$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.64 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked New York Mets | 54c | 393.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.06 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets | 42c | 363.01$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.09 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed New York Mets | 4c | 356.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…e2b1backed New York Mets | 3c | 350$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 29c | 344$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 335.56$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.2 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 333.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.32 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked New York Mets | 54c | 326.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.26 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Mets | 54c | 259.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked New York Mets | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 42c | 192.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Mets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 182$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 162.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 54c | 160.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed New York Mets | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 56c | 137.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed New York Mets | 54c | 131.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked New York Mets | 54c | 130.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 129.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked New York Mets | 54c | 127.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked New York Mets | 56c | 123.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed New York Mets | 53c | 122.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed New York Mets | 54c | 104.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 102.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 100.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked New York Mets | 54c | 100.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed New York Mets | 57c | 99.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed New York Mets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed New York Mets | 54c | 88.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed New York Mets | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked New York Mets | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…28f3backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 71.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 60.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked New York Mets | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked New York Mets | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed New York Mets | 42c | 59.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…4280backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed New York Mets | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…1068backed New York Mets | 53c | 47.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves | 79c | 43.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f2…3752backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-5.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-6.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.