MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24bd47775326bbf1ebaaef68188569e86f0db836d7949b49450dea1ccc9db35a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof New York Mets, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,000,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $722,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,000,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed New York Mets | 37c | 324,128$121,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,152.36 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets | 2c | 96,270$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.4 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 15c | 78,442$11,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,639.55 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 51,876$33,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,854.21 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed New York Mets | 35c | 29,026$10,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,249.39 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 23,289$14,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,390.77 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 37c | 22,360$8,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,260.41 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 4c | 22,247$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 18,760$11,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,971.52 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 15,940$9,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,033.73 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 15,665$9,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,952.73 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 13,507$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,106.71 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 77c | 12,708$9,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 12,545$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,768.28 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…d985backed New York Mets | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 8,988$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.12 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Mets | 5c | 7,908$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.65 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 7,834$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.36 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 6,765$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.9 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 6,667$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets | 19c | 6,202$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 5,228$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.72 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…15a3backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 4,384$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…16a4backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 4,270$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Mets | 1c | 4,247$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Mets | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 3,999$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 3,906$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.25 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets | 39c | 3,607$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.31 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed New York Mets | 39c | 3,314$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…315ebacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 2,990$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.29 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets | 2c | 2,953$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 2,679$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.23 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed New York Mets | 1c | 1,860$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,719$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.75 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked New York Mets | 37c | 1,618$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.75 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed New York Mets | 1c | 1,511$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 74c | 1,328$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked New York Mets | 35c | 1,106$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.94 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 1,101$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.76 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,052$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.59 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked New York Mets | 36c | 1,041$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.58 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed New York Mets | 32c | 937.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed New York Mets | 36c | 937.18$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.48 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 38c | 879.34$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.88 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Atlanta Braves | 78c | 841.09$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.4 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 835.33$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.86 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed New York Mets | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Mets | 9c | 743.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atlanta Braves | 69c | 676.7$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.36 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed New York Mets | 38c | 641.57$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.49 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed New York Mets | 40c | 625.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 603$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.11 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 599.96$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed New York Mets | 39c | 575.48$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.44 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 523.28$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 508.61$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Mets | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Mets | 35c | 499.8$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed New York Mets | 38c | 495.64$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.12 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked New York Mets | 36c | 484.24$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.33 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4c…72a3backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 465.55$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves | 73c | 460.63$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Mets | 34c | 450.05$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 450$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 432$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 409$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 407$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed New York Mets | 37c | 400.73$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.27 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed New York Mets | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 387.48$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 323.78$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked New York Mets | 26c | 315.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed New York Mets | 3c | 302$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 300.58$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…6199backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 278.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…66dcbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 270.19$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Mets | 39c | 270$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Atlanta Braves | 73c | 267.72$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed New York Mets | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked New York Mets | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked New York Mets | 21c | 245.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed New York Mets | 39c | 240$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Mets | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 37c | 239.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 232.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed New York Mets | 39c | 230$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-5.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-6.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.