TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Bravesof New York Mets, Atlanta Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,000,659
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$722,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,000,659 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4be1…aa70backed New York Mets37c324,128$121,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,152.366653%35 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets2c96,270$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.485645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets15c78,442$11,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,639.554,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves64c51,876$33,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,854.2111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed New York Mets35c29,026$10,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,249.3936246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Atlanta Braves64c23,289$14,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,390.777460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets37c22,360$8,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,260.414,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets4c22,247$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.9410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves63c18,760$11,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,971.523,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves62c15,940$9,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,033.735,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Atlanta Braves62c15,665$9,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,952.7329147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves62c13,507$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,106.711,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves77c12,708$9,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,867.658,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves62c12,545$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,768.281,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Atlanta Braves62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80033852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Atlanta Braves63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cf…d985backed New York Mets37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Atlanta Braves61c8,988$5,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,468.1243554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed New York Mets5c7,908$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.6560043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves68c7,834$5,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.362,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Atlanta Braves63c6,765$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,487.97651.3%39 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Atlanta Braves75c6,667$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.674860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets19c6,202$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1951,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Braves62c5,228$3,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.721,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb944…15a3backed Atlanta Braves63c4,384$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c1…16a4backed Atlanta Braves66c4,270$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Mets1c4,247$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9297944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked New York Mets37c4,054$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50061351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Atlanta Braves63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48098149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves64c3,999$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.344,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Atlanta Braves64c3,906$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.2522257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets39c3,607$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.312,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed New York Mets39c3,314$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30019250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd2a…315ebacked Atlanta Braves61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1703839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Atlanta Braves63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Atlanta Braves63c2,990$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.2944945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets2c2,953$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9582636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Braves63c2,679$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.2392054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed New York Mets1c1,860$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.825852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Atlanta Braves64c1,719$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.754652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked New York Mets37c1,618$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.7591252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed New York Mets1c1,511$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.684043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves74c1,328$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.4412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked New York Mets35c1,106$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.949831.6%31 W · 67 L-13.1wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves63c1,101$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.766,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves64c1,052$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.592,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked New York Mets36c1,041$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.5899624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed New York Mets32c937.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed New York Mets36c937.18$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.4851547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets38c879.34$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.882,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Atlanta Braves78c841.09$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.44,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Atlanta Braves67c835.33$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.861,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed New York Mets36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28812448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Mets9c743.62$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7637032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atlanta Braves69c676.7$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3614257%81 W · 61 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed New York Mets38c641.57$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4951545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed New York Mets40c625.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves63c603$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.111,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Atlanta Braves64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21639846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Atlanta Braves61c599.96$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.991,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed New York Mets39c575.48$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4426444.3%117 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Atlanta Braves63c523.28$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6146631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves75c508.61$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.633,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Mets36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18030647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed New York Mets35c499.8$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.751,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed New York Mets38c495.64$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1254945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked New York Mets36c484.24$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3321644.9%97 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d4c…72a3backed Atlanta Braves64c465.55$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves73c460.63$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.395,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Mets34c450.05$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Atlanta Braves61c450$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.56866.2%45 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Braves62c432$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.162,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Atlanta Braves61c409$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5137944.3%168 W · 211 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Atlanta Braves68c407$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6937451.3%192 W · 182 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed New York Mets37c400.73$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2726245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed New York Mets3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd335…fe54backed Atlanta Braves64c387.48$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.497957%45 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves71c323.78$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.543,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Atlanta Braves62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5864452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ee…2e1dbacked New York Mets26c315.79$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0512940.3%52 W · 77 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdde…0b07backed New York Mets3c302$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-77.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked Atlanta Braves66c300.58$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.258060.5%351 W · 229 L+30.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Atlanta Braves64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10841152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x307a…d612backed Atlanta Braves63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Atlanta Braves61c299.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8678…6199backed Atlanta Braves64c278.98$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.434252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf9…66dcbacked Atlanta Braves64c270.19$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.275143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Mets39c270$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.31,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Atlanta Braves73c267.72$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5434658.1%201 W · 145 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed New York Mets39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026747.9%128 W · 139 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb035…d7cdbacked New York Mets40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014141.8%59 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…597abacked New York Mets21c245.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.418729.9%26 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed New York Mets39c240$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.61,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Mets37c240$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.22,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Mets37c239.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.481,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a2…3c41backed Atlanta Braves64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3815857%90 W · 68 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed Atlanta Braves64c232.48$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.698155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed New York Mets39c230$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.71,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.