MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aa9fb72da707e7cc923f7f3a0a3681314d343c2eaa5c43569f69a78d73c0af3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 56c | 25,605$14,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,318.49 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 3,211$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.99 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 2,306$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 49c | 1,736$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.81 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,333$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.49 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 41c | 731.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.7 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 64c | 726$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 56c | 640$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 56c | 625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 56c | 532.12$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.58 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.11 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Under | 55c | 451.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 428.53$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 46c | 423.78$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.84 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 368.67$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 345.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 56c | 286.26$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 9c | 259.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 35c | 251$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 238$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 45c | 237.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.76 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 31c | 199.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 44c | 198.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 55c | 190$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 189$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 69c | 187.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 183$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 44c | 179.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 158.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 67c | 149.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 43c | 122.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 33c | 115.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 49c | 111.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…e41bbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 62c | 99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Under | 53c | 93.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 89.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 46c | 73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Under | 55c | 72.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 43c | 71.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Under | 56c | 70.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 53c | 66.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…aeb3backed Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…3be8backed Under | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…1c1ebacked Under | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…327ebacked Under | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6904…dbb6backed Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Under | 55c | 26.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 54c | 24.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…7210backed Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa758…a57ebacked Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…489abacked Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…1ac2backed Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba7…2d6abacked Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…c52cbacked Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked Under | 65c | 22.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf1…98b4backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-5.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-6.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.