TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe891…3be8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.36
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$24.7
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$11.88
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.68
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.14
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.3
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$14.44
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dartbacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.13
Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.24
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.28
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$10.33
Madrid Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Vit Koprivabacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Borna Gojobacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.46
Oeiras 3: Timofey Skatov vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$7.44
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.15
Barcelona Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$5.85
Madrid: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.28
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$29.68
Lugano: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Matej Dodigbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.41
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.24
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.33
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.92
Will NEC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.