MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x580b761809813a4468f5a0a68bcc17953c051d5db6563dbed86e185eac40fee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $351,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Under | 56c | 242,119$136,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,330.27 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 43c | 162,459$70,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,901.56 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 44c | 49,727$21,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,847.38 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 44c | 29,086$12,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,216.48 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 23,489$10,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,074.7 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 56c | 17,468$9,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,734.38 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 56c | 17,464$9,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,734.45 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 47c | 11,099$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,866.46 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 65c | 10,237$6,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,582.13 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Under | 35c | 6,513$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 55c | 5,390$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.54 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 45c | 3,965$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.59 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 45c | 3,868$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.4 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Over | 46c | 3,155$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.82 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 2,629$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 35c | 2,598$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.51 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…0f20backed Over | 47c | 1,676$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 45c | 1,575$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.35 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 46c | 1,522$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.58 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 46c | 1,317$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.32 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 53c | 1,243$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.09 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 46c | 1,105$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.72 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 45c | 1,052$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.65 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8c…2f40backed Under | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 56c | 909.56$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.16 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Over | 47c | 855.14$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.22 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 54c | 845.31$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.19 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Under | 56c | 778.88$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.17 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 778$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.9 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 752.83$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.27 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 742.36$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.45 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 44c | 630$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…2711backed Under | 47c | 618$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Over | 47c | 587.69$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 46c | 576.23$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.16 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 45c | 531.85$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.52 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 59c | 530$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.7 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 48c | 521.54$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.72 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 34c | 505.05$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 499.97$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 55c | 474.36$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.89 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 45c | 443.89$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.35 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 406.3$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.48 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 394.38$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.28 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 61c | 369.59$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.1 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 15c | 357.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 46c | 353.79$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.05 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…dde1backed Under | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 337.79$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 45c | 333.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 53c | 323.49$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 45c | 281.46$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.77 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 45c | 279.36$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.65 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf2…e835backed Under | 53c | 267.25$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…841fbacked Over | 48c | 261.58$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 53c | 261.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 258.42$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Under | 56c | 243.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 56c | 218$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 46c | 210.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 55c | 200.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 45c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 181.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 54c | 179.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 35c | 176.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Under | 53c | 174.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…ca27backed Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 47c | 168.41$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.26 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 56c | 147.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 46c | 143.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 65c | 135.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…466ebacked Under | 54c | 127.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 125.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 53c | 121.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1046…f642backed Under | 33c | 118.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 45c | 116.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 28c | 112$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…020dbacked Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 42c | 106.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 46c | 106.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Under | 55c | 98.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…63ffbacked Over | 44c | 97.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…8301backed Under | 56c | 80.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 47c | 77.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 45c | 75.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Over | 45c | 73.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 62c | 68.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 66.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Under | 55c | 66.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 55c | 66.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis CardinalsCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-5.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.