MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad5bdfae0249e3431c33516ea04899c50585b1eb9fc265b8812633a0004c7f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 19,784$9,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,694 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 14,337$5,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,270.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 11,919$6,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,776.23 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 10,677$5,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,231.72 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 10,312$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.86 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 7,084$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.43 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 4,431$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.13 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.8 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 3,933$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.97 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 16c | 3,144$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.95 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 2,661$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 2,281$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 2,253$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.38 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 2,242$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.44 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 2,075$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 1,976$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed St. Louis Cardinals | 5c | 1,886$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,856$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.3 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,687$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.8 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,530$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 1,123$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.49 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 965.94$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.31 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 944.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 819.39$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 784.61$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.54 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 777.62$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.01 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 3c | 769.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 743.95$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.09 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 712.81$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.52 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 660.86$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.13 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 639.11$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.5 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 582.72$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.71 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 581.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 521.98$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.91 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 516.16$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.45 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 512.84$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.29 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb27…b605backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 501.13$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 407.68$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.69 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 368.08$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.68 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 331.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.55 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…61b2backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 328.27$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 327.16$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b41…b5c0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 315.06$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 308.05$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 275.88$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 259.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 253.94$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 239.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 226.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 226$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 223.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 161 | 38.5%62 W · 99 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 220.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 213.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 210.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 210.7$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa790…b73cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…6b1fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 197.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 197.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 196.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…0a84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 196.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…f4cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 194.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…2aa7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed St. Louis Cardinals | 12c | 191.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 191.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…03a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 185.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 184.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 183.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 179.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 172.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 171.63$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 169.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 164.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 152.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 150.69$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 150.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 148.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…770dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 140.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 139.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 138.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 136.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 130.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 130.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 130.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 124.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 112.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-5.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.