TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55af…6a1b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
439
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst Cricket at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT36345.7%166 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 363 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$54.98
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$55.99
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Showing 25 of 363 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT4042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.08
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$111.3
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.7
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.6
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$131.08
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.7
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.89
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$60.07
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.19
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Avalanche vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$111.3
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.6
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.4
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$191.4
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$120.99
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Roman Safiullinbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Shymkent 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Coleman Wongbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Busan: Ui-Sung Park vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
BMW Open: Justin Engel vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$56.99
Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyamabacked Marat Sharipov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.48
Grand Prix Hassan II: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luca Van Asschebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$96.04
Menorca: Justin Engel vs Alejo Sanchez Quilezbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$35.7
Bucharest Open: Gabi Boitan vs Elmer Moellerbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$52
Sao Paulo: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$25.2
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.6
Morelia: Nicolas Mejia vs Chris Rodeschbacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.24
Morelia: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Hersonissos 2: Robin Bertrand vs Alex Rybakovbacked Robin Bertrand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick69cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.2
Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.95
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Ohio Bobcats vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Washington Huskies vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.11
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$33.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Malaysia vs Bahrain: Malaysia vs Bahrainbacked Malaysia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.