MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e9368745e95038b4c88747ea62b49f8907b0c5de044405f36cdd0cb4e8a8317
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $597,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $644,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,999.99 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 74,254$32,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,582.46 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 67,964$31,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,793.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 58,650$25,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,430.5 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 33,333$14,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,999.81 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 25,152$13,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,123.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 21,251$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 17,241$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 16,705$11,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,391.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 13,336$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.29 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,840 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 9,994$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950.44 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 9,426$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.56 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…131cbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 9,192$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,586.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.97 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.96 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 8,658$4,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.79 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 6,688$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,745.26 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 6,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 5,961$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.08 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 5,903$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.7 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 5,814$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.01 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 5,521$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.44 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 5,331$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 4,769$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.6 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 4,673$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.59 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 3,872$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.39 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 3,835$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.58 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 3,462$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.72 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 3,224$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.5 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 3,003$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.74 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.98 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,872$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.93 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 2,818$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.39 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 2,417$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,400$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 2,368$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.76 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 2,274$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 2,118$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.51 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,990$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 1,895$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,757$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.4 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,646$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…7e55backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 1,537$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.84 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,466$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.03 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…9532backed Miami Marlins | 16c | 1,428$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 1,394$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,339$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.04 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 1,337$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,242$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.25 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 1,238$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.04 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Miami Marlins | 15c | 1,199$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,132$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.75 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Miami Marlins | 16c | 1,050$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…b6ddbacked Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 1,045$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.45 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Miami Marlins | 19c | 1,038$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 1,031$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.45 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…36b4backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 931.66$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.84 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 848.47$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.72 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 848.14$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.35 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 846$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.76 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 790$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.98 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…42c3backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 771.04$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.93 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 749.23$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.37 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 645.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 628.82$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 573.25$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 555$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.35 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 543.57$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.26 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 526.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 518.18$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.2 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 508.79$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.05 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 500$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 499.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 484.27$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 459.16$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 450$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 439.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 432$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.24 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 427.09$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.09 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 406.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 400$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 399.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 397.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 371.16$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 365.9$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 15.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.