TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1da3…2f94

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
349
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT16743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 167 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$875
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
Roland Garros WTA: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatekbacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$378.48
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+286%+$715.08
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+153.4%+$176.51
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paulbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros WTA: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.64
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullinbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+135.5%+$1,354.82
Roland Garros WTA: Susan Bandecchi vs Cristina Bucsabacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+174.4%+$435.94
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinezbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.23
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$189.04
Internationaux de Strasbourg: McCartney Kessler vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$107.14
Showing 25 of 167 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT9354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$312.24
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$212.96
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$782.05
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$312.24
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$325
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$212.96
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$392.86
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.41
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.95
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$611.11
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$782.05
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$2,126.08
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$851.85
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$2,569.2
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$923.08
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$204.55
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$1,255.1
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$1,280.44
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+71%+$887.27
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,750
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,173.08
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,263.16
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$725
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$521.19
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,301.02
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$1,030.61
Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,750
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$2,643.68
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$2,725.85
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,173.91
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$638.89
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$694.92
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$869.32
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$575.61
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$173.73
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$743.5
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,143.77
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.81
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$743.48
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$686.26
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.71
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$415.81
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.34
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$439.53
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$950.57
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$714.29
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$608.32
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$389.47
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-2.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$445.16
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$686.26
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$563.51
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$299.17
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.5
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-7.5)backed Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$285.71
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-11.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$22.95
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$480.39
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.