NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49277ad01b812682abda52700fb0441a07ebf033ed6e9b31b34ddb8c0739de8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,468,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,518,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,468,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,012 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Sabres | 39c | 136,177$53,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,067.81 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Sabres | 40c | 130,000$51,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,599.8 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Canadiens | 61c | 122,552$74,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,756.58 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sabres | 40c | 105,012$41,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,412.46 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Sabres | 39c | 100,000$39,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,899.92 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Canadiens | 60c | 85,785$51,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,163.33 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…1681backed Canadiens | 61c | 49,770$30,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,284.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Canadiens | 61c | 43,837$26,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,549.39 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Canadiens | 60c | 33,333$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Sabres | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,300 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Sabres | 38c | 28,064$10,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,293.94 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Canadiens | 57c | 24,861$14,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,236.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Canadiens | 62c | 23,915$14,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,827.37 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Sabres | 38c | 22,631$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,031.17 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Canadiens | 61c | 21,864$13,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,308 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Canadiens | 61c | 21,311$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 75c | 17,460$13,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,286.21 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Canadiens | 62c | 15,323$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canadiens | 59c | 15,113$8,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,916.63 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Canadiens | 53c | 12,675$6,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,740.72 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 58c | 11,763$6,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,786.54 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Canadiens | 61c | 11,500$7,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,015 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Sabres | 39c | 11,500$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,015 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 61c | 11,000$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,710 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens | 44c | 9,734$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.62 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Sabres | 41c | 9,412$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,515.23 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sabres | 39c | 9,186$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,603.48 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Sabres | 39c | 9,154$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,583.93 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…bf55backed Canadiens | 60c | 8,767$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Canadiens | 61c | 8,749$5,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,312.28 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Canadiens | 0c | 8,700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Sabres | 17c | 8,474$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,033.6 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Canadiens | 61c | 8,147$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.93 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Canadiens | 60c | 8,000$4,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…0d25backed Canadiens | 2c | 7,956$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Canadiens | 61c | 7,579$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,623.15 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Canadiens | 12c | 7,272$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.62 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Sabres | 70c | 6,533$4,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.86 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sabres | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Canadiens | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Sabres | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Canadiens | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…fe78backed Canadiens | 23c | 5,917$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Sabres | 17c | 5,824$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +246.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…20cfbacked Canadiens | 62c | 5,773$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Canadiens | 42c | 5,760$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Sabres | 15c | 5,623$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Sabres | 40c | 5,483$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Sabres | 39c | 5,400$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Sabres | 41c | 5,172$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.42 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sabres | 40c | 5,077$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.2 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Sabres | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.97 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…40e3backed Canadiens | 60c | 4,900$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed Canadiens | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Sabres | 39c | 4,707$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.18 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Canadiens | 71c | 4,471$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.63 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sabres | 38c | 4,262$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.63 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Canadiens | 56c | 3,996$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.73 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens | 7c | 3,560$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Sabres | 50c | 3,502$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.36 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…bd88backed Sabres | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Canadiens | 62c | 3,460$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens | 62c | 3,307$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.34 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres | 37c | 3,264$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.03 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sabres | 45c | 3,138$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.93 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Canadiens | 62c | 3,030$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Sabres | 20c | 3,026$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…e597backed Canadiens | 7c | 3,020$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Sabres | 39c | 3,001$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.58 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Sabres | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Sabres | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Sabres | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Sabres | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Sabres | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Canadiens | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked Sabres | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Sabres | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.98 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…f9f7backed Canadiens | 1c | 2,985$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…2317backed Canadiens | 60c | 2,979$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…0ef2backed Sabres | 40c | 2,921$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Canadiens | 60c | 2,883$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Canadiens | 61c | 2,787$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Canadiens | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.97 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Sabres | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.04 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Sabres | 71c | 2,561$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.4 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Canadiens | 53c | 2,560$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.94 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Canadiens | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Sabres | 38c | 2,481$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.19 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Sabres | 39c | 2,400$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.18 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Sabres | 57c | 2,334$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d96…4bb4backed Sabres | 41c | 2,157$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…5085backed Sabres | 41c | 2,146$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…05f2backed Sabres | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Sabres | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Canadiens | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Canadiens | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canadiens | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Canadiens | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.98 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Canadiens | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.91 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Canadiensthis page
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.