TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6715…5085

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88%+$2,991.39
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Henri Squirebacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,342.82
Zagreb: Elmer Moeller vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,272.73
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,086Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+118%+$3,639.75
Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,929Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$2,636.6
Oeiras 4: Petr Brunclik vs Jaime Fariabacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,487.28
Valencia: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+145.2%+$1,451.99
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Valencia: Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Zagreb: Luka Mikrut vs Chris Rodeschbacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$965.84
Zagreb: Yannick Alexandrescou vs August Holmgrenbacked Yannick Alexandrescou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$851.85
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,170.98
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,439.02
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,913Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,913.25
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$2,322.09
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+145.3%+$1,271.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.