TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,292
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,292 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under47c15,067$7,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,008.488351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c11,507$4,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,441.634,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6715…5085backed Over59c7,644$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over53c7,526$3,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,988.711566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…ea4fbacked Over61c6,782$4,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,128.7340%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c6,072$2,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.782844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under10c5,086$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,601.0912020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under21c3,866$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,065.3998833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over75c3,760$2,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,834.8456439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over57c3,428$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.041163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under48c2,012$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.233650%18 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Over70c1,559$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0851833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under49c1,357$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.193444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under19c931.23$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.951776.5%13 W · 4 L+5.7wins+0.33per pick43cpaid+89.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c735.03$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.373,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over61c690.25$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.6360732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under20c675.6$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.313347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over77c612.76$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.517265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a5c…5dddbacked Over61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over78c400$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.54146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under19c341.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.82,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Over59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under19c308.53$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8168050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Over65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under7c300$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2808510.6%9 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under19c281.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.4945250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under6c275.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.92416.7%4 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+202.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Over41c241.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9915832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under11c227.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.276836.8%25 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over67c213.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3622553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under19c208.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3269350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1224971.4%35 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over68c199.63$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1428138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over45c166.03$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.416348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d4…07cebacked Over80c159.94$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under57c157.93$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8252…e65cbacked Over63c149.68$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05b…c2aebacked Over34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over57c121.21$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.591656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over17c119.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.583640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Over75c110$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.71625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-44%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over77c109.42$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.251145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under21c101.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4732545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over60c100.17$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5737348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed90…d1ffbacked Over55c91.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5036…6c08backed Over54c86.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over32c86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.584247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over79c85.45$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.165918.6%11 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cc1…b855backed Under43c80.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.651275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.33933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over80c75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603372.7%24 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Over80c75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under22c71.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7720050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under41c69.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.626154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under21c67.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3133161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Over52c66.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356159%36 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over70c66.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4520253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f7…f399backed Over64c63.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.852334.8%8 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-40.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3e02…3667backed Under35c63.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.251163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x616d…bb9bbacked Over65c63.46$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16a…7a6dbacked Over80c62.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under44c56.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8822760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over52c55.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d3…60b0backed Over80c55.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Over33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.552445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed Over78c49.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x96a8…1932backed Under51c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over63c47.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.85149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under35c45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3413151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over39c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.757263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Over65c30.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.753740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over80c26.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8aaf…530dbacked Over58c22.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166475%48 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over67c18.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2521139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Over80c16.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134654.3%25 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick80cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b0…2910backed Over80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.