TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7d4…07ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3060%18 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.59
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$34.41
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$8.92
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.2
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.57
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$11.87
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.33
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.75
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.39
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.29
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.84
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.37
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Team to Advancebacked PFK Levski Sofia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.64
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$37.38
Will FK ML Viciebsk win on 2026-07-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.61
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$80.02
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$76.45
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$65.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$20.43
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.7
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+33.3%+$17.51
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$29.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.