Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49a6dd736edf3808bf2a1fe3496075ab5ff071fd8cd643bb440b680afe0c98db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $556,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $681,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 486 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 41c | 142,079$58,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,176.81 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 97,044$46,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,176.11 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 59c | 84,746$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,745.76 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 59c | 51,534$30,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,331.76 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -10.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 59c | 27,774$16,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,508.4 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 16,143$6,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,651.89 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 49c | 15,968$7,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,219.11 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 11,333$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,965.38 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Under | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.93 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 41c | 9,037$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.92 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 42c | 9,012$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.11 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 8,091$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 41c | 7,500$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Over | 42c | 6,860$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.68 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 59c | 6,358$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.75 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 51c | 6,270$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.91 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.75 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Over | 25c | 5,001$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.88 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…3475backed Over | 59c | 4,983$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.82 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 42c | 4,430$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.71 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 41c | 3,592$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.37 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 60c | 3,344$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.54 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 3,202$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.7 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafe…c5b5backed Over | 59c | 2,934$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 2,926$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.18 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 52c | 2,644$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.16 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…2e0cbacked Over | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Over | 45c | 2,547$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.33 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…5d9abacked Over | 59c | 2,502$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.7 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…d6ebbacked Over | 59c | 2,499$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.59 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 2,337$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.12 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…d9c9backed Over | 56c | 2,319$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.69 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…03ccbacked Over | 59c | 2,224$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.02 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Over | 47c | 2,110$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.72 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…2341backed Under | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +88%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.71 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 46c | 1,999$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.39 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…a68fbacked Over | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.46 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 40c | 1,725$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Over | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Over | 63c | 1,591$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.3 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9d…e50dbacked Over | 59c | 1,570$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.63 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 59c | 1,522$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.03 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…21fbbacked Over | 53c | 1,515$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.28 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…2c00backed Over | 19c | 1,476$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.19 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfa…2dd7backed Over | 59c | 1,322$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.49 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 49c | 1,262$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.94 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…3f3cbacked Over | 59c | 1,193$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.96 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 1,192$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.64 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 53c | 1,155$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.6 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over | 45c | 1,110$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.5 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…003dbacked Under | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…731ebacked Under | 79c | 1,089$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 45c | 1,053$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.55 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Over | 59c | 1,012$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.1 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Over | 52c | 1,011$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.5 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Over | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 938.08$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.68 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…cc77backed Over | 60c | 911.4$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Over | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Over | 58c | 862.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.93 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 42c | 859.01$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.3 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…c73fbacked Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 45c | 823.75$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.36 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Over | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 11c | 803$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.11 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Over | 59c | 794.92$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.92 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Under | 41c | 779.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed Over | 60c | 764.72$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.54 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +51%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 760.28$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.8 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…2874backed Over | 53c | 741.51$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.51 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Over | 59c | 704.74$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.94 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 700.83$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.97 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 43c | 669$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.67 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…c943backed Over | 59c | 643.15$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 41c | 635$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.5 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 42c | 618.39$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.89 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627b…285bbacked Over | 58c | 601.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…b5f0backed Over | 68c | 567.84$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe620…03acbacked Over | 60c | 564.78$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.91 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 42c | 561.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.23 | 294 | 49%144 W · 150 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 57c | 561.61$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.03 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed Over | 58c | 516.36$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.36 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…62fabacked Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…a5e9backed Over | 67c | 508.46$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.57 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 42c | 500.56$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.23 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…140fbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc9…f2d3backed Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…0bdebacked Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6648…4798backed Over | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5this page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.