TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$556,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$681,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 486 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under41c142,079$58,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,176.8177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c97,044$46,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,176.114,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over59c84,746$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,745.7619644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over59c51,534$30,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,331.768932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over59c27,774$16,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,508.42,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c16,143$6,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,651.893,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over49c15,968$7,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,219.114,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c11,333$4,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,965.384,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.9338026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c9,037$3,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.922,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under42c9,012$3,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.111,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c8,091$4,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over59c8,000$4,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,28012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under41c7,500$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,07574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Over42c6,860$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,952.683240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over59c6,358$3,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.754148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over51c6,270$3,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075.912,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.7531644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over25c5,001$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,733.8836437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92be…3475backed Over59c4,983$2,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.825362.3%33 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under42c4,430$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.712,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under41c3,592$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.3774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over60c3,344$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.546550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under43c3,202$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.71,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdafe…c5b5backed Over59c2,934$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.751376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+57.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over47c2,926$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.182,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over52c2,644$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.161,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…2e0cbacked Over58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.213171%22 W · 9 L+7.2wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+56.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Over45c2,547$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.3311555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over59c2,502$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.78156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Over59c2,499$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.5915144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c2,337$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.122,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d5…d9c9backed Over56c2,319$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.691776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48e3…03ccbacked Over59c2,224$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.026237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over47c2,110$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.7222441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.7115440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Over46c1,999$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.394238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Over54c1,851$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.466848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under40c1,725$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69014349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1430465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9225228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Over63c1,591$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.332429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9d…e50dbacked Over59c1,570$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.633138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over59c1,522$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.0311147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b7…21fbbacked Over53c1,515$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.283030%9 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6157358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd36…2c00backed Over19c1,476$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.1911549.6%57 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over59c1,356$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.9337955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfa…2dd7backed Over59c1,322$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.493145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over49c1,262$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.941,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over59c1,193$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.968652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over52c1,192$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.641,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over53c1,155$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.61,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over45c1,110$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.525537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0271…731ebacked Under79c1,089$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.211838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over45c1,053$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.552,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Over59c1,012$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.110359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Over52c1,011$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.526343%113 W · 150 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Over59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4103033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42013155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c938.08$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.683,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4211…cc77backed Over60c911.4$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over59c900$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36945038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over58c862.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.9325842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under42c859.01$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.329232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…c73fbacked Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.462770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4621443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c823.75$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.362,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.673754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa94f…6d6fbacked Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.452152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over11c803$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.1134533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over59c794.92$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.9216953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Under41c779.97$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.79650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6071…e933backed Over60c764.72$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.543053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+51%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c760.28$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.83,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…2874backed Over53c741.51$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.517247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Over59c704.74$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.9417650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over21c700.83$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.973,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under43c669$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.6770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c48…c943backed Over59c643.15$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.69757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over41c635$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c618.39$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.891,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x627b…285bbacked Over58c601.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9912844.5%57 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1544…b5f0backed Over68c567.84$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.711764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over60c564.78$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9117045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under42c561.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2329449%144 W · 150 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over57c561.61$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.031,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4511458.8%67 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over58c516.36$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3617948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf77a…62fabacked Over59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.473060%18 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4713754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9943…a5e9backed Over67c508.46$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.574656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under42c500.56$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2367447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2753855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc9…f2d3backed Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5c…0bdebacked Under41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+100.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6648…4798backed Over23c500$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3857748.1%37 W · 40 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.