TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,851 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1fa4…9fb6backed Over3c53,534$1,368 inLost-$1,368.35595.1%3 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over1c7,802$64 inLost-$63.623,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over3c7,563$220 inLost-$220.448,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2413…4216backed Over2c2,584$52 inLost-$51.996544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Over2c2,277$46 inLost-$45.557911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Over3c2,000$60 inLost-$60466.5%3 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec0a…30d6backed Over3c1,000$30 inLost-$302433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over2c970.19$20 inLost-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over3c666.52$20 inLost-$2018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7c…2b74backed Over2c633.33$13 inLost-$132611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-68.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Over3c400.33$12 inLost-$1210527.6%29 W · 76 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.