Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dae070f55d766b8f446774aa535999db671b054e2547060f72fd4578e006ccf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 0c | 49,680$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 32,936$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,142.29 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 12c | 11,300$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.99 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Under | 12c | 6,231$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.69 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 12c | 5,063$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.02 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 13c | 2,073$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.1 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Under | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 13c | 1,119$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…003dbacked Under | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 12c | 1,007$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 11c | 999.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…2435backed Over | 77c | 947.47$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 12c | 900.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 12c | 732.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 12c | 544$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841a…61adbacked Under | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 13c | 480.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 14c | 420.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 12c | 408.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 12c | 385.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 13c | 384.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 4c | 326.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 12c | 310$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Under | 14c | 230.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Under | 12c | 220$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 12c | 167.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Under | 12c | 152.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 80c | 132.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 13c | 130.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Under | 12c | 119.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 11c | 119.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Under | 12c | 106$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 509 | 50.7%258 W · 251 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…d6cdbacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…466cbacked Under | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…b72ebacked Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 16c | 88.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under | 21c | 65.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 395 | 51.1%202 W · 193 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…0f86backed Over | 76c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…a63dbacked Over | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5this page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.