TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,382,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,362,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,382,468 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,095 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes47c204,876$96,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,166.5621343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked No54c150,000$81,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,999.9742345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c98,643$57,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,280.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Yes47c95,849$44,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,590.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c95,318$44,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,694.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No53c90,265$47,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,334.473,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No53c79,859$42,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,533.9216331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab3e…de25backed No53c52,000$27,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,439.952352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No53c51,323$27,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,119.9756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes47c51,064$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Yes46c45,729$21,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,035.5715044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes47c42,552$20,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,038.1618047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes47c34,049$16,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,003.248847.7%42 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed No53c29,580$15,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,902.66053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes44c25,000$10,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,949.868932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes47c23,346$11,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,021.321,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No53c21,979$11,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,391.487143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes46c21,960$10,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,101.411,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No52c20,899$10,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,031.6920448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Yes48c20,522$9,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,850.784930.6%15 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Yes42c20,000$8,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3009645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes47c19,989$9,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,364.7937944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No52c19,800$10,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,504.174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No53c16,498$8,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,742.081,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes45c15,158$6,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,826.0717544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No53c15,140$8,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,115.89943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No53c15,000$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,049.9874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No53c12,383$6,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,819.9820333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,759.8229646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed No54c11,500$6,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2908435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Yes47c11,485$5,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,397.96154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed No61c10,825$6,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,221.933167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Yes47c10,472$4,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,922.062227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No53c10,420$5,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,896.812,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked No53c10,163$5,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,776.957545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.7638026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No52c9,304$4,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,465.7410056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed No53c9,240$4,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,342.84544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No69c8,999$6,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.0628042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed No59c8,718$5,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,604.0310562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae35…8d66backed Yes44c6,722$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No56c6,582$3,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.0431851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4579…9352backed No53c6,540$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.82850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e90…4474backed Yes37c6,500$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No53c6,363$3,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.6129740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes36c5,995$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.163,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f8…2062backed Yes47c5,956$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.395916.9%10 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes47c5,927$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.4838817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8366…e569backed Yes41c5,854$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No53c5,374$2,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,525.7870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc087…dbbabacked Yes48c5,208$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007541.3%31 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes38c5,165$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.8949441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff1…98c0backed No53c4,581$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.031435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…7f83backed Yes47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed Yes48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No53c4,100$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.9718848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.8729250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No54c3,922$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.2211963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Yes47c3,681$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.18160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes33c3,595$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.851,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No53c3,500$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.9912934.1%44 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked No53c3,100$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.996450%32 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes37c3,046$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.6263544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c5…2e6bbacked Yes37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1103844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No53c3,000$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.9940655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf695…409fbacked Yes47c2,888$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.936221%13 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-57.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Yes11c2,858$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.736437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes36c2,851$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02514546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No52c2,835$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.028943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes39c2,827$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.619547.4%45 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d3…a266backed Yes37c2,651$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02aa…f99bbacked Yes38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c8…5726backed Yes48c2,604$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Yes39c2,590$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0107753.2%41 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Yes48c2,577$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.151936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No57c2,546$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.452,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe043…b415backed Yes48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b60…85e0backed Yes48c2,407$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.218341%34 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5438…8206backed No53c2,274$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes41c2,156$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.7535514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes34c2,141$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.522,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No53c2,100$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9941,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabef…1819backed Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008225.6%21 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92040343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Yes48c1,994$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9572339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No54c1,944$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.222,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No52c1,922$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.5171638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked No53c1,849$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.0620053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e8e…c2bbbacked Yes47c1,845$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.232634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked No66c1,808$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.064472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2cb…a6afbacked Yes47c1,692$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.033636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd967…a266backed Yes40c1,671$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6671464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+87.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No53c1,661$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.652,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Yes48c1,646$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79022419.6%44 W · 180 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc2…10dcbacked Yes48c1,551$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.364852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed No55c1,517$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.7827034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.