Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd7177c6d79d45edc4f61dfcd58fe987e6acc92c831a3baa8dfc119b73b598fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 12c | 20,111$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.59 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Over | 12c | 7,346$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.54 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 2c | 6,706$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.49 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 14c | 3,502$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 12c | 3,189$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.17 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 1c | 2,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 12c | 1,555$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 5c | 1,273$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c48…009cbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Over | 12c | 974.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Over | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 10c | 734.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 12c | 716.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 179 | 38%68 W · 111 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 12c | 656.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 12c | 522.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 12c | 507.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 7c | 450$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Over | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 19c | 403.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Over | 4c | 395.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 8c | 368.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 13c | 292.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 10c | 275.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Over | 11c | 272.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 10c | 254.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…45c7backed Over | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 12c | 168$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…236ebacked Over | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…bfbbbacked Over | 12c | 157.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 12c | 132.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Over | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…7590backed Over | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…f450backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…615fbacked Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 15c | 78.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 21c | 60.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 77c | 47.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Under | 78c | 36.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…95ebbacked Under | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under | 79c | 20.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 20.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.