Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfabdf9da910658eaa99ec58433bbd0286f16720c8ee9c676aea2bd21905dd94b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 8,153$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 14c | 4,344$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.16 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 14c | 2,980$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.4 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 17c | 2,856$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.59 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 12c | 2,077$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…3d69backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 17c | 1,059$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 5c | 910$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…7ff7backed Yes | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed Yes | 17c | 764.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 17c | 619.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…8cf5backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 10c | 520$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 17c | 488.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925e…ae34backed Yes | 17c | 430.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yes | 7c | 364$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 13c | 350$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1627…9bcabacked Yes | 14c | 346.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…0bbbbacked Yes | 17c | 336.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 9c | 299.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Yes | 17c | 295.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…7e42backed Yes | 19c | 251.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…cfdabacked Yes | 17c | 243.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 79 | 11.4%9 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…6644backed Yes | 16c | 187.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes | 16c | 184.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…fa95backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd389…031cbacked Yes | 17c | 176.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…068fbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 19c | 165$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 145.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…afaebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…b5ddbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…eec4backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 17c | 107.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…a64bbacked Yes | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…f3a3backed Yes | 13c | 103.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bd…1196backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…5aa7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…a925backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…f991backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa484…524cbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…717abacked Yes | 17c | 98.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…4987backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…7536backed Yes | 16c | 92.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Yes | 14c | 87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 324 | 33.6%109 W · 215 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…ed31backed Yes | 17c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 26c | 84.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…ab9abacked Yes | 37c | 80.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…2878backed Yes | 16c | 71.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…64fbbacked Yes | 16c | 65.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…2077backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…959ebacked Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Austria (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.