TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,841 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over8c2,130$170 inLost-$170.414,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over26c2,001$520 inLost-$520.3861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c1,546$1,159 inWon+$387.034,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Over29c1,379$400 inLost-$40014624.7%36 W · 110 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under74c1,265$936 inWon+$329.012,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under71c1,200$852 inWon+$348.1346550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under74c675.81$500 inWon+$175.8176551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6d…27bbbacked Over28c536.08$150 inLost-$1504238.1%16 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under73c525.27$383 inWon+$141.8236448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over26c519.23$135 inLost-$13554917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffda…c1fcbacked Under72c499.38$360 inWon+$139.833372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2993…431fbacked Over29c358.64$104 inLost-$103.8113438.1%51 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Over28c357.14$100 inLost-$1006648.5%32 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+107.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Over29c344.83$100 inLost-$10022419.6%44 W · 180 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under72c303$218 inWon+$84.782,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost-$509237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under73c158.7$116 inWon+$42.8532855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Under75c133.59$100 inWon+$33.592556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under73c115.27$84 inWon+$31.333,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under71c100$71 inWon+$2957252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under73c97.13$70 inWon+$26.641,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over25c89.33$22 inLost-$22.3345038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20c7…bc23backed Over28c80$22 inLost-$22.41735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over26c76.92$20 inLost-$2023528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over26c50$13 inLost-$1319958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under73c41.51$30 inWon+$11.283,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over26c40.38$11 inLost-$10.563,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over27c39.4$11 inLost-$10.6411252.7%59 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a51…9c22backed Under74c27.03$20 inWon+$7.034852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under73c25$18 inWon+$6.752,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under73c19.73$14 inWon+$5.3331149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Under73c15.2$11 inWon+$4.140240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.