TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xffda…c1fc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,571Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,716.37
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$580.5
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,017.04
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$50.62
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,895Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,274.36
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,291.24
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.68
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$196.35
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$43.42
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,162.37
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$999.75
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$468.5
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.97
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,268.1
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$767.92
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$350.64
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$916.98
Spain to score first vs. Uruguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$400.75
Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$94.45
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$537.12
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$856
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,066.45
Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$79.36
Colombia to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.09
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.55
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$73.6
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$81.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$148.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.