TailMyPicks
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: REJECT vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
REJECTof REJECT, Riddle
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,447 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52b7…0aa1backed Riddle33c2,353$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.0542035%147 W · 273 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Riddle38c2,285$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.954630.4%14 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed REJECT60c1,339$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.1218457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked REJECT75c1,250$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.530652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Riddle23c1,225$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9146526.7%124 W · 341 L-25.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Riddle38c1,100$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.7125444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed REJECT72c1,010$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.274240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Riddle31c992.21$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5453742.1%226 W · 311 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked REJECT63c917.65$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.628942.9%124 W · 165 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed REJECT61c827.95$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.3722344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Riddle26c796.05$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4323732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked REJECT66c784.02$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.0263056.3%355 W · 275 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed REJECT63c767.43$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.681681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Riddle12c614.79$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.741,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd42d…94d3backed Riddle30c579.64$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.931435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed REJECT72c510.48$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.162250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Riddle47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.856442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked REJECT61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1958144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Riddle36c479.99$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.85058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Riddle20c384.53$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1885138.1%324 W · 527 L-51.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked REJECT79c362.88$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3810346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Riddle25c354.73$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked REJECT62c323.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7513455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked Riddle43c305.18$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.23742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked REJECT63c304$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4896945%436 W · 533 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Riddle32c301.48$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked REJECT73c267.76$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.599051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Riddle39c255.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8419856.1%111 W · 87 L+13.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed REJECT63c230.29$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.216848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked REJECT67c213.67$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6822539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed REJECT61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffda…c1fcbacked REJECT60c186.77$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed REJECT60c172.97$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9215646.2%72 W · 84 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed REJECT68c163.12$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.991,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Riddle27c160.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.621136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Riddle29c157.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4546746.7%218 W · 249 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed REJECT65c157$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0277929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Riddle13c155.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8857550.6%291 W · 284 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Riddle28c154.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5542140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked REJECT66c148.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.921,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Riddle29c144.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7433838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed REJECT62c130.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.155145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Riddle31c130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.855637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Riddle27c127.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2230835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc17d…2134backed REJECT63c127.19$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed REJECT72c125$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.213843.5%60 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Riddle40c112.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9819546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Riddle29c108.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.91,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76a0…fb5bbacked Riddle36c105.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed REJECT61c103.93$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9312149.6%60 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked REJECT63c103.27$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2119651.5%101 W · 95 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Riddle29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913225%33 W · 99 L-18.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Riddle33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3314032.9%46 W · 94 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bb6…5154backed Riddle40c98.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee7a…d503backed REJECT64c95.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked REJECT59c87.6$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7620553.2%109 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd122…5d93backed REJECT71c82.34$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.88366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Riddle34c82.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.955836.2%21 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Riddle33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.49441.5%39 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Riddle31c78.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4824140.2%97 W · 144 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed REJECT54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.523834%81 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…396dbacked REJECT75c71.82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Riddle38c66.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3716451.8%85 W · 79 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa894…2830backed Riddle38c66.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Riddle38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512949.6%64 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb3…9e69backed REJECT62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.525350.9%27 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Riddle39c63.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9334443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed REJECT63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.499054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked REJECT67c59.87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8712261.5%75 W · 47 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Riddle29c59.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0478344.1%345 W · 438 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fdb…af66backed Riddle45c58.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed REJECT61c57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.235843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed REJECT65c56.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0475142.7%321 W · 430 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed REJECT78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Riddle47c48.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9854…8e9dbacked Riddle45c44.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked REJECT63c43.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9691333.2%303 W · 610 L-89.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Riddle28c41.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5518148.6%88 W · 93 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5b…2a5abacked REJECT61c41.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed REJECT61c36.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.232564%16 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd030…5adfbacked REJECT79c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Riddle29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2216144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4a…59d9backed REJECT60c33.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4210743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da3…bf1bbacked REJECT61c30.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.081283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed REJECT68c30.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.885100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0b5…3186backed REJECT66c30.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.451844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf9…c527backed REJECT66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Riddle38c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3925645.3%116 W · 140 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3bf…147fbacked Riddle39c29.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.676842.6%29 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x232f…ccb4backed REJECT57c29.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed REJECT68c28.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1693649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddf…7510backed REJECT71c28.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.175356.6%30 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Riddle38c27.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5211637.9%44 W · 72 L-15.5wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ffd…08fabacked REJECT61c26.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.236558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed REJECT62c25.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7143459.2%257 W · 177 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Riddle55c23.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0170543.5%307 W · 398 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe294…d74bbacked REJECT64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed REJECT55c23.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3667250.6%340 W · 332 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked REJECT75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534671.1%246 W · 100 L-1.1wins0.00per pick71cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc38…d93fbacked REJECT56c19.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.782948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.