Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REJECT vs Riddle - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d5781b359aa64151d50cd7922ba487917c2b96a04d75248bfc41f1a646796c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REJECTof REJECT, Riddle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Riddle | 1c | 1,404$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked REJECT | 55c | 1,228$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.37 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REJECT | 36c | 993.72$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.45 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed REJECT | 57c | 960.19$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.98 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed REJECT | 43c | 795.69$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.85 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Riddle | 42c | 749.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed REJECT | 70c | 600.61$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked REJECT | 34c | 503.96$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.12 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Riddle | 48c | 379.84$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked REJECT | 59c | 354.85$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Riddle | 65c | 330$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.06 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Riddle | 50c | 217.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked REJECT | 37c | 202.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Riddle | 66c | 192.49$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed REJECT | 45c | 177.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Riddle | 46c | 168$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Riddle | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed REJECT | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed REJECT | 63c | 129.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Riddle | 58c | 128.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked REJECT | 47c | 115.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Riddle | 46c | 105.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked REJECT | 39c | 101.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 55cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…f727backed REJECT | 66c | 92.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Riddle | 13c | 86.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Riddle | 50c | 86.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Riddle | 51c | 61.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked REJECT | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Riddle | 38c | 59.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Riddle | 50c | 47.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Riddle | 62c | 45.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed REJECT | 52c | 45.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked REJECT | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Riddle | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Riddle | 62c | 33.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked REJECT | 48c | 32.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Riddle | 56c | 31.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Riddle | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked REJECT | 57c | 26.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked REJECT | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Riddle | 49c | 22.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed REJECT | 50c | 21.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…bd96backed REJECT | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REJECT vs Riddle - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: RC (-1.5) vs Riddle (+1.5)REJECT won
- Valorant: REJECT vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan Main StageREJECT won
- Valorant: REJECT vs Riddle - Map 1 WinnerREJECT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.