Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REJECT vs Riddle - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed6faafb712af1b6b92c1402eba4f6159637e522d8f9130b43a6f7f2b7d6f923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REJECTof REJECT, Riddle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eac…e409backed REJECT | 55c | 1,864$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.69 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed REJECT | 61c | 1,852$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.44 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed REJECT | 66c | 1,126$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.23 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Riddle | 50c | 804.44$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.22 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Riddle | 35c | 749.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Riddle | 29c | 655.93$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…e642backed REJECT | 77c | 652.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Riddle | 56c | 545.11$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.41 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked Riddle | 43c | 537.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Riddle | 36c | 485$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Riddle | 33c | 453.42$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.78 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked REJECT | 77c | 271.26$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Riddle | 40c | 258$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Riddle | 53c | 189.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked REJECT | 50c | 176.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked REJECT | 51c | 173.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed REJECT | 69c | 155.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…78e2backed REJECT | 79c | 139.37$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed REJECT | 48c | 109.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Riddle | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Riddle | 27c | 107$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Riddle | 40c | 104.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Riddle | 23c | 99.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed REJECT | 57c | 94.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked REJECT | 65c | 87.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked REJECT | 57c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked REJECT | 61c | 75.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked REJECT | 74c | 74.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Riddle | 37c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked REJECT | 70c | 62.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked REJECT | 63c | 55.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Riddle | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked REJECT | 57c | 50.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…8e9dbacked Riddle | 62c | 48.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked REJECT | 61c | 47.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Riddle | 55c | 43.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Riddle | 35c | 43.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed REJECT | 70c | 35.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked REJECT | 63c | 30.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Riddle | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Riddle | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked REJECT | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed REJECT | 54c | 20.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REJECT vs Riddle - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: RC (-1.5) vs Riddle (+1.5)REJECT won
- Valorant: REJECT vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan Main StageREJECT won
- Valorant: REJECT vs Riddle - Map 2 WinnerREJECT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.