TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7da3…bf1b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6175.4%46 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.78
Cary: Rio Noguchi vs Alex Martinezbacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
ITF Tokyo: Shintaro Imai vs Yuki Mochizukibacked Shintaro Imai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)backed Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.32
Set Handicap: Joint (-1.5) vs Williams (+1.5)backed Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.36
Wimbledon WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Eva Lysbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.87
ITF Nivelles: Ryan Nijboer vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Jonas Forejtek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.45
ITF Umag: Jou-George Gnjidic vs Hrvoje Jutresabacked Hrvoje Jutresa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.96
Troyes: Maxime Chazal vs Patrick Zahrajbacked Maxime Chazal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.89
ITF Monastir: Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Jonas Eriksson Zivertsbacked Cesar Bouchelaghem · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Jones (+1.5)backed Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.14
Troyes: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Luca Staehelibacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.07
ITF Wuning: Tianhui Zhang vs Yan Cheng Chenbacked Tianhui Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.17
ITF Nivelles: Kirill Kivattsev vs Alessio Basilebacked Kirill Kivattsev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Milan: Mathys Erhard vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
ITF Tokyo: Kosuke Ogura vs Sanhui Shinbacked Sanhui Shin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.63
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardybacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.15
Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Jacquemot (+1.5)backed Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.1
Milan: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Miguel Damasbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$10.61
Diego Dedura-Palomero vs. Miguel Damas: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.58
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dartbacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.61
ITF Wuning: Matthew Dellavedova vs Kuan-Yi Leebacked Matthew Dellavedova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.05
Piracicaba: Valerio Aboian vs Hernan Casanovabacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Samuel (+1.5)backed Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.28
Piracicaba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Joaquin Aguilarbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.81
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs MIR (+1.5)backed MIR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)backed UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.11
Valorant: REJECT vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagebacked REJECT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.08
Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagebacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.96
Valorant: Dplus vs DRX Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked DRX Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.54
Valorant: X-CAST vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.57
Valorant: T1 Academy vs So:sweet (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.99
Valorant: ARETE vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.96
Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Cbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.77
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Cbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Map Handicap: OSG (-1.5) vs T1 Academy (+1.5)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.81
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. NC Dinosbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.