Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: OSG (-1.5) vs T1 Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb709db11c0f3c74202db31b1aaf3d3c7c3601da637fb4e6fa2154987f0d15501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1 Academyof ONSIDE GAMING, T1 Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ONSIDE GAMING | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.18 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed T1 Academy | 60c | 1,253$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed ONSIDE GAMING | 39c | 891.25$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.17 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked T1 Academy | 63c | 866.55$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.83 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed ONSIDE GAMING | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed T1 Academy | 66c | 371.21$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.21 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked T1 Academy | 60c | 358.25$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.3 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed T1 Academy | 60c | 233$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…bf1bbacked T1 Academy | 62c | 28.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed T1 Academy | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: OSG (-1.5) vs T1 Academy (+1.5)this page
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: T1 Academy (-2.5) vs ONSIDE GAMING (+2.5)ONSIDE GAMING won
- Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular SeasonONSIDE GAMING won
- Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs T1 Academy - Map 1 WinnerONSIDE GAMING won
- Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs T1 Academy - Map 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.