TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Eva Lys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diana Shnaiderof Diana Shnaider, Eva Lys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,105

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x79ae…9a4abacked Eva Lys50c31,049$15,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,649.457147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Diana Shnaider52c9,591$5,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,578.143,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Diana Shnaider49c7,724$3,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,969.479,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Diana Shnaider61c6,476$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.4535057.4%201 W · 149 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Diana Shnaider76c4,095$3,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.074,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Diana Shnaider64c4,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.2210358.3%60 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Eva Lys35c3,515$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.2611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Diana Shnaider51c2,668$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.224,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Diana Shnaider77c2,623$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.1265959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66d1…c18fbacked Diana Shnaider50c1,599$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.4422562.7%141 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Diana Shnaider65c1,544$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.853,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Eva Lys35c1,056$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.3992145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Eva Lys34c941.12$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.985,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Eva Lys51c888$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.8859348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Diana Shnaider60c835.79$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.33,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Diana Shnaider45c671.49$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.221,13145.4%514 W · 617 L-34.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Eva Lys49c583.65$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.121,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eva Lys26c580.86$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.178,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Diana Shnaider75c544.2$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.781,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Diana Shnaider74c536.31$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.35,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Diana Shnaider62c503.85$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.688,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x226a…258abacked Diana Shnaider57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Diana Shnaider65c489.72$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Diana Shnaider65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5431146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Eva Lys41c454.44$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.321,37138.3%525 W · 846 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Eva Lys25c437.46$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.649632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…d9f1backed Eva Lys50c436.6$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2916726.3%44 W · 123 L-18.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Eva Lys23c429.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.291,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Diana Shnaider59c414.47$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.516,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Eva Lys41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16491050.2%457 W · 453 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f16…701dbacked Eva Lys25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007938%30 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Eva Lys34c374.44$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.312,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Diana Shnaider64c355$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.824351.4%125 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Diana Shnaider64c350$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Eva Lys37c348.26$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.312,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3c…c98cbacked Diana Shnaider65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.694261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Diana Shnaider68c285.93$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.14,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Eva Lys35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009053.3%48 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Eva Lys40c273.12$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.642,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Eva Lys31c243.04$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.181,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Eva Lys34c209.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6595237.7%359 W · 593 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Diana Shnaider49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Diana Shnaider77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4651252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Eva Lys41c197.07$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.82,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Eva Lys49c196.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.942,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Eva Lys39c195.56$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.399148.6%482 W · 509 L+43.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed Eva Lys33c183.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2722544.4%100 W · 125 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Diana Shnaider66c178.28$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.694,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Eva Lys34c178.1$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5543359.6%258 W · 175 L+26.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f24…e803backed Diana Shnaider57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4411255.4%62 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93b1…934ebacked Eva Lys30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504226.2%11 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Eva Lys44c158.25$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.451,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Diana Shnaider66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5258145.8%266 W · 315 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Diana Shnaider67c149.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.391,19852.4%628 W · 570 L+28.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Diana Shnaider67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2525848.4%125 W · 133 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Eva Lys33c146.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.277,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Eva Lys38c141$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.891,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Eva Lys14c135$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2580341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Diana Shnaider75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Eva Lys35c128.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdf…8116backed Eva Lys35c127$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.455044%22 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed Diana Shnaider61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.818537.3%69 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Eva Lys25c110$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.544423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28be…6dbebacked Eva Lys37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023536.6%86 W · 149 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Eva Lys49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,63946.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Eva Lys21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2137233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba56…10e8backed Eva Lys36c91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7610147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed Diana Shnaider65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2815851.3%81 W · 77 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Eva Lys24c78.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.736,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Eva Lys52c75.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.241,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Diana Shnaider65c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.548245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1930…691cbacked Eva Lys37c68.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514243%61 W · 81 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Eva Lys32c67.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3766834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeed0…545bbacked Diana Shnaider54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.811346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Diana Shnaider64c63.32$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.816825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Eva Lys35c63.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.221,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Eva Lys34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.452135.1%183 W · 338 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Eva Lys51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.685057.5%489 W · 361 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Eva Lys35c59.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Diana Shnaider65c59.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.887,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Eva Lys35c58.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5963537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x721c…d585backed Eva Lys35c56.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8613157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f2…042ebacked Diana Shnaider65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.857364.4%47 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Diana Shnaider63c52.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.491,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Eva Lys35c51.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.015,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Diana Shnaider59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.852,08754.1%1,130 W · 957 L+64.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Diana Shnaider65c50.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7583747.6%398 W · 439 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Eva Lys34c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1757449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x341d…2995backed Diana Shnaider66c47.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.231161.1%190 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Eva Lys35c45.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.811,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Diana Shnaider66c45.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.643,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Diana Shnaider61c43.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.652,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Eva Lys30c41.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Diana Shnaider66c38.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1595658.2%556 W · 400 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da3…bf1bbacked Diana Shnaider66c37.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.876175.4%46 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Eva Lys35c37.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1344452.5%233 W · 211 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Diana Shnaider80c37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.492674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Diana Shnaider65c30.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6619251.6%99 W · 93 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Eva Lys36c30.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1129237.3%109 W · 183 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d40…3b32backed Diana Shnaider65c30.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.661154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.