TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2f9…eb15

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
657
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: World Politics, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT15451.3%79 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 154 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US Open, Qualification WTA: Claire Liu vs Heather Watsonbacked Heather Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Aklibacked Ayana Akli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.91
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.5
Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs Darderibacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockxbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$20.89
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.08
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.05
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Croatia Open: Dino Prizmic vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$16.05
Istanbul 2: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Xinyu Gaobacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Athens Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.52
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.31
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Dabrowski/Stefanibacked Guo/Mladenovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.3
Set 2 Winner: Keys vs Noskovabacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.76
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$14.98
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertensbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.68
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.47
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$46.25
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 154 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT15050%75 W · 75 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 150 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$25.1
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+161.5%+$80.77
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$37.8
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.44
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.15
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.39
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.97
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.66
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.14
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.64
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$24.86
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$25.12
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.52
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.73
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.08
Showing 25 of 150 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT12244.3%54 W · 68 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$39.18
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$47.33
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.71
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.17
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.09
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ENCE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs HAVU - Map 1 Winnerbacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.47
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.69
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$20.58
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5253.8%28 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.98
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$32.9
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$22
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.93
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.44
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$79.13
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.65
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Flame Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$73.42
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.85
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.17
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.73
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$17.57
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.11
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.94
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.62
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$32.3
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$39.6
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.97
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$43.02
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Panama vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$454.75
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$36.63
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$46.99
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+900%+$225
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+150.4%+$86.28
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$72.5
Will Donald Trump say "hostage" 4+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$113.96
Will Donald Trump say "F-35" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$61.37
Will Donald Trump say "pardon" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+76.3%+$328.24
Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+102%+$30.3
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Donald Trump say "Turkey" or "Erdogan" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Trump say "UFC" or "America 250" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$52.49
Will Trump say "Communist" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$36.39
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$107.5
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 23 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.55
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$302.26
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.29
Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+300%+$87
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+525%+$167.98
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+566.7%+$169.99
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$72
Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+105.5%+$77
Will Trump say "Invasion" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump say "Hero " or "Patriot" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Trump say "Eight War" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$42.75
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Trump say "Operation" or "Spear" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Trump say "Nuclear" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" during the medal presentation on December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$69
All 22 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick24cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$164
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$126.88
Over $2.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+233.3%+$175
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+208.1%+$590.49
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+591%+$254.1
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$183
Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.44
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Over $30M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.79
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+488.2%+$85.85
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Over $20M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$100.64
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+60.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+587.8%+$315.27
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$120.43
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$63.39
Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.3%+$148.03
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.08
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+101.4%+$97.3
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$17.32
Will Donald Trump say "two weeks" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+284.6%+$54.63
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100.9%+$14.06
Will Donald Trump say "beautiful" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$42.24
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$315.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melania say "Danger" or "Dangerous" during statement on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Melania say "Honor" during statement on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33.07
Will "Sanders" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will "Zelenskyy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.77
Will Jensen Huang say "Gemini" or "Perplexity" 4+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.46
Will Jensen Huang say "Quantum" 5+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$46.67
Will Jensen Huang say "Human Robot" or "Human Robotic" during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$69.3
Will Jensen Huang say "Elon" or "Musk" during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+364.7%+$224.01
Will Jensen Huang say "Palantir" during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+414.3%+$135.94
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.12
Will Powell say "Distortion" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Powell say "Politics" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Powell say "Affordability" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.43
Will Powell say "Nothing" 3+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.47
Will Powell say "Not our job" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+175.7%+$53.19
Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$30.52
Will Powell say "Supreme Court" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+68.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.57per pick23cpaid+242.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.26
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+147.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$29.54
Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+203%+$61.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+132.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+70.3%+$29.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+289.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+289.9%+$475.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+177.8%+$37.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during astronaut greeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.