TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Under51c25,000$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,75041850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under52c25,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.971,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c23,355$11,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,910.831,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c18,228$8,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,474.4728749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over49c5,027$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.82,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over79c4,245$3,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.473154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under59c3,691$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.0217750.8%90 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62527044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x996a…e3ccbacked Under3c3,000$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02091945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Under51c1,580$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.793735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under19c1,477$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1899638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over46c1,265$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e29…5777backed Under7c1,200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c1,177$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under26c1,108$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3835829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca7…0a12backed Over49c1,102$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.361346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c1,001$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.9333554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57033837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55013333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over52c830.24$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.4743742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over66c808.9$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.941,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over48c720$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.42540%10 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over80c702.66$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.771435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over41c699.21$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.193,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…9bd9backed Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3256354%34 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under7c605.21$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2190%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under53c600$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+50.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c592.32$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.931,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over38c560$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.1234547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551a…b3dcbacked Under60c496.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over48c481.29$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8417248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf50f…0586backed Over48c460$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.21526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6725449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under51c405.03$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0729448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2082850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Under34c399.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.53030%9 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under53c364.15$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19329551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over68c358.62$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1522250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed Over76c328.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.184100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over48c298.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.479948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over58c295.08$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1210438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9956…44e0backed Under57c293.53$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.840%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under26c234.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.763452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under52c208.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3313952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Under7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Under21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under51c199.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9931148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under52c195$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.462447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Over60c190.32$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.567642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007850%39 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over40c181.54$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6251343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over50c139.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2924442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4d…4f6bbacked Over75c133.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9604…3cacbacked Under68c131.59$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a70…a50bbacked Under38c127.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.094037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6539751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over59c119.69$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8765721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over29c106.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9729533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1723148.9%113 W · 118 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over51c102.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8749851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c100.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4111952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over49c100.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0130349.5%150 W · 153 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5228542.8%122 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb323…f505backed Over48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.996749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52a…31a2backed Over47c99.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.992259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc85a…8cd8backed Under31c98.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307957%45 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over49c97.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9678443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over70c97.05$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.912859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under22c93.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5817456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under22c93.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.586056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under22c93.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.584557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed Under53c92.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4940%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under19c90.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1531828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under19c88.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.018548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under52c86.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8122946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under36c85.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.714151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over47c84.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8821355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc451…958cbacked Over48c81.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.252050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Over48c79.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.575038%19 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over48c79.21$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.197936.7%29 W · 50 L-11.5wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Under46c79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.343863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over69c78.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.449431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under41c75.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.111,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88fc…74a4backed Under42c66.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813442.5%57 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under32c66.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4712763.8%81 W · 46 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over78c64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.061,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Under65c63.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.671850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over70c62.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5614855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa389…d70ebacked Under29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6233745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1153849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x951b…291abacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306540%26 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under73c59.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.441,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Over24c51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.765556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1201…a74dbacked Under26c50.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Over33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2718949.2%93 W · 96 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.