TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47a8…52f9backed Wild58c64,000$37,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,3207545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche42c60,588$25,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,1411,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Wild57c40,000$22,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,799.9424349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Wild58c17,241$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Avalanche43c11,124$4,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,340.439157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Avalanche43c11,124$4,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,340.4318452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche41c10,337$4,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,099.0940351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Avalanche43c8,297$3,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,729.137754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Wild57c6,318$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.5456649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Avalanche43c6,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,42039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Avalanche41c5,498$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.8911952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Avalanche43c3,987$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.8633450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Avalanche43c3,733$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.729260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wild53c2,842$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.982,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche61c2,569$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.81,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Avalanche42c2,317$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.6540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wild57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9191945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche42c1,110$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.628749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Avalanche43c1,027$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.2512355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wild57c927.98$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.951,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Avalanche43c750$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Wild32c713.86$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9539344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd88e…a8c6backed Avalanche43c690.7$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.71250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Wild42c645.23$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4143742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Avalanche44c594.9$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.910359.2%61 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Avalanche43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28532648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Avalanche43c452.63$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2587761%47 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Wild47c451.61$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21117248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Avalanche43c410.49$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9812161.2%74 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Wild38c400$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.53030%9 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Avalanche78c382.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.454173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Wild44c351.2$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4122250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Avalanche42c340$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.247753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild39c309.62$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.543,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Wild58c306.02$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Avalanche43c302.93$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6736852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Avalanche47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3220552.2%107 W · 98 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Avalanche42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+50.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Wild57c288.02$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1717761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Wild55c273.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.225240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Avalanche53c263.18$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1710438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Avalanche42c259.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7921549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfbc…dcdbbacked Wild58c242.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Avalanche42c236.22$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1222946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Avalanche43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5619153.4%102 W · 89 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wild16c230$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7461848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Avalanche61c224$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3545069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Avalanche43c223.09$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1611656%65 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Wild23c202.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Wild55c202$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.021,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Wild51c195.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5550251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Avalanche43c195.67$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5319759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked Avalanche43c189.88$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.234656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Wild59c184.93$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1125258.3%147 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3be0…a532backed Avalanche43c184.63$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.247851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Avalanche43c178$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.461668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Wild42c164.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.093056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Wild19c156.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.927642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Avalanche43c152.6$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.987533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Avalanche43c152$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6423754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Wild17c144.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1741050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Avalanche42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8639751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wild57c140.41$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0359450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Wild59c140$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.615265.1%99 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b1…cf50backed Avalanche43c138.14$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.742657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Wild58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Wild59c133.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7910256.9%58 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Avalanche43c132.28$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.415554.8%85 W · 70 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Wild52c127.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.272536%9 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Avalanche44c124.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.056046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Avalanche43c119.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.864045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50f2…a5b1backed Wild59c118.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Avalanche43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2816054.4%87 W · 73 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0e…b7bcbacked Avalanche43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2813461.9%83 W · 51 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Avalanche43c113.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.955255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa22f…e194backed Avalanche57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Wild41c103.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7849851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Avalanche48c102.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Wild31c102.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3247024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x146e…ab0bbacked Avalanche43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77e5…d5a3backed Wild58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5811864.4%76 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Avalanche42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked Wild15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Wild57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5714653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0948…061cbacked Wild50c98.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.424141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Avalanche43c98.07$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.922853.9%123 W · 105 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Avalanche43c95.7$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5510357.3%59 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Avalanche43c95.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2716253.7%87 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Wild59c93.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec17…44bcbacked Avalanche43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.021573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Avalanche55c90.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b65…013ebacked Avalanche42c89.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.71850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Avalanche47c88.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.911,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wild32c84.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.641,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Wild13c83.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.929533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Wild47c83.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8921355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…132ebacked Avalanche47c81.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.351560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Avalanche43c76.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4714052.1%73 W · 67 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wild18c76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.681,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Wild58c75.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4433660.7%204 W · 132 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.